Goal expectancy
1.40Expected goals1.26
From 5 and 4 competition matches
Likely scorelines (Poisson)
Balanced — model leans Capo
Estimated win chances: Capo 40.3%, draw 26%, Tucson 33.8%. From 5 and 4 competition matches.
TempoMedium
VolatilityLow
Expected goalsMedium
Tactical styleBalanced
Upset potentialHigh
Draw riskMedium
Model confidenceLow
Outcome model
Sportra's estimate from each team's season goal rates. It is a statistical guide, not betting advice.
Form & momentum
Weighted momentum, recent result run, and form-window W–D–L — the live pulse before kickoff.
41MixedCapo
Weighted momentum
Momentum is balanced — recent results cancel out.
48MixedTucson
Capo · leaky defenseTucson · Structured / conservative
Capo
2W · 1D · 2LRecent →DLWLW
Momentum index
Tucson
2W · 1D · 1LRecent →LDWW
Momentum index
Form split comparison
Wins, draws, and losses across the sampled form window
Season record
League totals anchoring the snapshot — points, goal balance, and season shape vs opponent.
Capo
7 pts40% wins
2W · 1D · 2L · 5 played
For9
Against9
Tucson
7 pts50% wins
2W · 1D · 1L · 4 played
For4
Against2
Season shape comparison
League table W–D–L, goal balance, and form-run counts from league profile signals
League depth signals
Matchup edges
Attack vs opponent defense in the matchup comparison.
- Capo offensive edge
Capo faces a stingier defense than their attack rating suggests.
-13 - Tucson offensive edge
Tucson's attack (31%) vs Capo's defense (18%).
+13
Team comparison
Comparison indices from the match data partner.
Capoleaky defense
TucsonStructured / conservative
H2H in this snapshot
From 3 meetings included in this prediction snapshot.
1Capo33%
1Draws
1Tucson33%