Cardiff 2-1 Birmingham Prediction

CardiffCardiff
2 — 1FT
BirminghamBirmingham
OverviewLineupsStatisticsStandingsEventsPlayersPredictionsFormInjuriesH2H

Updated

CardiffCardiffvsBirminghamBirmingham

Match DNA · Predictions ↗

Open / transitional — model leans Cardiff

Estimated win chances: Cardiff 54.5%, draw 23%, Birmingham 22.6%. From 8 and 8 competition matches.

TempoHigh
VolatilityLow
Expected goalsMedium
Tactical styleOpen / transitional
Upset potentialMedium
Draw riskLow
Model confidenceHigh

Outcome model

Sportra's estimate from each team's season goal rates. It is a statistical guide, not betting advice.

Goal expectancy

1.82Expected goals1.09

From 8 and 8 competition matches

Likely scorelines (Poisson)

  • 1–111.3%
  • 1–010.4%
  • 2–110.3%
  • 2–09.4%
  • 3–16.2%

Form & momentum

Weighted momentum, recent result run, and form-window W–D–L — the live pulse before kickoff.

68Hot streakCardiff
Weighted momentum

Cardiff carries the sharper recent run (+15 momentum).

53BuildingBirmingham
Cardiff · hot formBirmingham · leaky defense

Cardiff

5W · 1D · 2L
Recent →WLWWWLDW
Momentum index

Birmingham

3W · 2D · 3L
Recent →WLWDWLLD
Momentum index

Form split comparison

Wins, draws, and losses across the sampled form window

Season record

League totals anchoring the snapshot — points, goal balance, and season shape vs opponent.

Table gapCardiff +5

Cardiff

16 pts
63% wins

5W · 1D · 2L · 8 played

For
15
Against
9
Goal diff +6

Birmingham

11 pts
38% wins

3W · 2D · 3L · 8 played

For
9
Against
14
Goal diff -5

Season shape comparison

League table W–D–L, goal balance, and form-run counts from league profile signals

League depth signals

Extremes, discipline windows, and split stats from the full league profile.

Matchup edges

Attack vs opponent defense in the matchup comparison.

  • Cardiff offensive edge

    Cardiff's attack (67%) vs Birmingham's defense (38%).

    +29
  • Birmingham offensive edge

    Birmingham runs into a stronger home defensive profile.

    -29

Team comparison

Comparison indices from the match data partner.

Attack rating

Attacking threat in the final third.

Cardiff67
Birmingham33

Defense rating

How well each side limits chances.

Cardiff62
Birmingham38

Momentum

Weighted form score (recent results count more).

Cardiff68
Birmingham53

Matchup edge

Attack vs opponent defense (positive = favourable matchup).

Cardiff108
Birmingham-8

Volatility

Higher = more swingy results (big losses, goals against).

Cardiff30
Birmingham37

Form index

Head-to-head form comparison from the model.

Cardiff55
Birmingham45

H2H pull

Historical dominance in recent meetings.

Cardiff80
Birmingham20
Cardiffhot form
Birminghamleaky defense