Cardiff 1-0 Nottingham Forest Prediction

CardiffCardiff
1 — 0FT
Nottingham ForestNottingham Forest
OverviewLineupsStatisticsStandingsEventsPlayersPredictionsFormInjuriesH2H

Updated

CardiffCardiffvsNottingham ForestNottingham Forest

Match DNA · Predictions ↗

Open / transitional — model leans Cardiff

Estimated win chances: Cardiff 54.7%, draw 22.9%, Nottingham Forest 22.4%. From 18 and 17 competition matches.

TempoHigh
VolatilityLow
Expected goalsMedium
Tactical styleOpen / transitional
Upset potentialMedium
Draw riskLow
Model confidenceHigh

Outcome model

Sportra's estimate from each team's season goal rates. It is a statistical guide, not betting advice.

Goal expectancy

1.83Expected goals1.09

From 18 and 17 competition matches

Likely scorelines (Poisson)

  • 1–111.2%
  • 1–010.3%
  • 2–110.3%
  • 2–09.4%
  • 3–16.3%

Form & momentum

Weighted momentum, recent result run, and form-window W–D–L — the live pulse before kickoff.

59BuildingCardiff
Weighted momentum

Cardiff carries the sharper recent run (+15 momentum).

44MixedNottingham Forest
Nottingham Forest · leaky defense

Cardiff

8W · 7D · 3L
Recent →DWWWDWLDLWDDWDDLWW
Momentum index

Nottingham Forest

6W · 2D · 9L
Recent →WLWLWWLLLWLLLDWLD
Momentum index

Form split comparison

Wins, draws, and losses across the sampled form window

Season record

League totals anchoring the snapshot — points, goal balance, and season shape vs opponent.

Cardiff

31 pts
44% wins

8W · 7D · 3L · 18 played

For
32
Against
22
Goal diff +10

Nottingham Forest

20 pts
35% wins

6W · 2D · 9L · 17 played

For
18
Against
29
Goal diff -11

Season shape comparison

League table W–D–L, goal balance, and form-run counts from league profile signals

League depth signals

Extremes, discipline windows, and split stats from the full league profile.

Matchup edges

Attack vs opponent defense in the matchup comparison.

  • Cardiff offensive edge

    Cardiff's attack (60%) vs Nottingham Forest's defense (30%).

    +30
  • Nottingham Forest offensive edge

    Nottingham Forest runs into a stronger home defensive profile.

    -30

Team comparison

Comparison indices from the match data partner.

Attack rating

Attacking threat in the final third.

Cardiff60
Nottingham Forest40

Defense rating

How well each side limits chances.

Cardiff70
Nottingham Forest30

Momentum

Weighted form score (recent results count more).

Cardiff59
Nottingham Forest44

Matchup edge

Attack vs opponent defense (positive = favourable matchup).

Cardiff110
Nottingham Forest-10

Volatility

Higher = more swingy results (big losses, goals against).

Cardiff30
Nottingham Forest34

Form index

Head-to-head form comparison from the model.

Cardiff55
Nottingham Forest45

H2H pull

Historical dominance in recent meetings.

Cardiff0
Nottingham Forest0
Nottingham Forestleaky defense