Goal expectancy
1.44Expected goals1.41
From 18 and 18 competition matches
Likely scorelines (Poisson)
Estimated win chances: Carlos A. Mannucci 38.2%, draw 25%, Union Comercio 36.8%. From 18 and 18 competition matches.
Sportra's estimate from each team's season goal rates. It is a statistical guide, not betting advice.
1.44Expected goals1.41
From 18 and 18 competition matches
Likely scorelines (Poisson)
Weighted momentum, recent result run, and form-window W–D–L — the live pulse before kickoff.
Carlos A. Mannucci carries the sharper recent run (+10 momentum).
Wins, draws, and losses across the sampled form window
League totals anchoring the snapshot — points, goal balance, and season shape vs opponent.
3W · 5D · 10L · 18 played
1W · 6D · 11L · 18 played
League table W–D–L, goal balance, and form-run counts from league profile signals
Attack vs opponent defense in the matchup comparison.
Carlos A. Mannucci faces a stingier defense than their attack rating suggests.
-29Union Comercio's attack (86%) vs Carlos A. Mannucci's defense (57%).
+29Comparison indices from the match data partner.
From 5 meetings included in this prediction snapshot.