Goal expectancy
1.06Expected goals1.34
From 31 and 31 competition matches
Likely scorelines (Poisson)
Balanced — model leans Utrera
Estimated win chances: Cartaya 29.6%, draw 27.3%, Utrera 43.1%. From 31 and 31 competition matches.
TempoMedium
VolatilityLow
Expected goalsMedium
Tactical styleBalanced
Upset potentialMedium
Draw riskHigh
Model confidenceMedium
Outcome model
Sportra's estimate from each team's season goal rates. It is a statistical guide, not betting advice.
Form & momentum
Weighted momentum, recent result run, and form-window W–D–L — the live pulse before kickoff.
29Cold spellCartaya
Weighted momentum
Utrera arrives with stronger form weighting (+28 momentum).
57BuildingUtrera
Cartaya · low scoring · cold formUtrera · compact defense
Cartaya
7W · 11D · 13LRecent →LLLDLDDDDWDLLLDWLWLWLLDDDWWDWLL
Momentum index
Utrera
15W · 8D · 8LRecent →WWWLDLWDDDDWWWLWWLDLLLWDWWWLWWD
Momentum index
Form split comparison
Wins, draws, and losses across the sampled form window
Season record
League totals anchoring the snapshot — points, goal balance, and season shape vs opponent.
Table gapUtrera +21
Cartaya
32 pts23% wins
7W · 11D · 13L · 31 played
For30
Against49
Utrera
53 pts48% wins
15W · 8D · 8L · 31 played
For42
Against24
Season shape comparison
League table W–D–L, goal balance, and form-run counts from league profile signals
League depth signals
Matchup edges
Attack vs opponent defense in the matchup comparison.
- Cartaya offensive edge
Cartaya faces a stingier defense than their attack rating suggests.
-48 - Utrera offensive edge
Utrera's attack (62%) vs Cartaya's defense (14%).
+48
Team comparison
Comparison indices from the match data partner.
Cartayalow scoring · cold form
Utreracompact defense
H2H in this snapshot
From 5 meetings included in this prediction snapshot.
3Cartaya60%
1Draws
1Utrera20%