Goal expectancy
1.02Expected goals1.30
From 28 and 28 competition matches
Likely scorelines (Poisson)
Balanced — model leans Vimenor
Estimated win chances: Cartes 29.2%, draw 27.9%, Vimenor 42.9%. From 28 and 28 competition matches.
TempoMedium
VolatilityLow
Expected goalsLow
Tactical styleBalanced
Upset potentialMedium
Draw riskHigh
Model confidenceMedium
Outcome model
Sportra's estimate from each team's season goal rates. It is a statistical guide, not betting advice.
Form & momentum
Weighted momentum, recent result run, and form-window W–D–L — the live pulse before kickoff.
33Cold spellCartes
Weighted momentum
Vimenor arrives with stronger form weighting (+30 momentum).
63BuildingVimenor
Cartes · low scoring · cold formVimenor · compact defense
Cartes
6W · 8D · 14LRecent →LDLWDWWLLDWDLDLLLLDLLDWLLLDW
Momentum index
Vimenor
15W · 7D · 6LRecent →DWDDWWLWWWWLDWWLWLWLWDWDLWWD
Momentum index
Form split comparison
Wins, draws, and losses across the sampled form window
Season record
League totals anchoring the snapshot — points, goal balance, and season shape vs opponent.
Table gapVimenor +26
Cartes
26 pts21% wins
6W · 8D · 14L · 28 played
For22
Against41
Vimenor
52 pts54% wins
15W · 7D · 6L · 28 played
For39
Against25
Season shape comparison
League table W–D–L, goal balance, and form-run counts from league profile signals
League depth signals
Matchup edges
Attack vs opponent defense in the matchup comparison.
- Cartes offensive edge
Cartes faces a stingier defense than their attack rating suggests.
-12 - Vimenor offensive edge
Vimenor's attack (55%) vs Cartes's defense (43%).
+12
Team comparison
Comparison indices from the match data partner.
Carteslow scoring · cold form
Vimenorcompact defense
H2H in this snapshot
From 9 meetings included in this prediction snapshot.
7Cartes78%
2Draws
0Vimenor0%