Goal expectancy
0.89Expected goals0.92
From 26 and 26 competition matches
Likely scorelines (Poisson)
Defensive grind — too close to call
Estimated win chances: Caspe 32.8%, draw 32.8%, Cuarte 34.4%. From 26 and 26 competition matches.
Low tempo / cageyTempoMedium
VolatilityLow
Expected goalsLow
Tactical styleDefensive grind
Upset potentialMedium
Draw riskHigh
Model confidenceLow
Outcome model
Sportra's estimate from each team's season goal rates. It is a statistical guide, not betting advice.
Form & momentum
Weighted momentum, recent result run, and form-window W–D–L — the live pulse before kickoff.
58BuildingCaspe
Weighted momentum
Cuarte arrives with stronger form weighting (+22 momentum).
80Hot streakCuarte
Caspe · compact defenseCuarte · compact defense · hot form
Caspe
11W · 11D · 4LRecent →DWDWWLWDWDLWLDWDLWWWDWDDDD
Momentum index
Cuarte
17W · 9D · 0LRecent →DWWDWWWWWWWWDWDDWWWDDWWDWD
Momentum index
Form split comparison
Wins, draws, and losses across the sampled form window
Season record
League totals anchoring the snapshot — points, goal balance, and season shape vs opponent.
Table gapCuarte +16
Caspe
44 pts42% wins
11W · 11D · 4L · 26 played
For29
Against15
Cuarte
60 pts65% wins
17W · 9D · 0L · 26 played
For33
Against7
Season shape comparison
League table W–D–L, goal balance, and form-run counts from league profile signals
League depth signals
Matchup edges
Attack vs opponent defense in the matchup comparison.
- Caspe offensive edge
Caspe's attack (50%) vs Cuarte's defense (40%).
+10 - Cuarte offensive edge
Cuarte runs into a stronger home defensive profile.
-10
Team comparison
Comparison indices from the match data partner.
Caspecompact defense
Cuartecompact defense · hot form
H2H in this snapshot
From 9 meetings included in this prediction snapshot.
2Caspe22%
7Draws
0Cuarte0%