Goal expectancy
1.04Expected goals1.26
From 22 and 21 competition matches
Likely scorelines (Poisson)
Castilleja 0-1 Bollullos Prediction
Balanced — model leans Bollullos
Estimated win chances: Castilleja 30.5%, draw 28.1%, Bollullos 41.3%. From 22 and 21 competition matches.
TempoMedium
VolatilityLow
Expected goalsLow
Tactical styleBalanced
Upset potentialHigh
Draw riskHigh
Model confidenceMedium
Outcome model
Sportra's estimate from each team's season goal rates. It is a statistical guide, not betting advice.
Form & momentum
Weighted momentum, recent result run, and form-window W–D–L — the live pulse before kickoff.
32Cold spellCastilleja
Weighted momentum
Bollullos arrives with stronger form weighting (+16 momentum).
48MixedBollullos
Castilleja · low scoring · cold formBollullos · compact defense
Castilleja
4W · 7D · 11LRecent →LDLLWDWWDDLDLLLLWLLLDD
Momentum index
Bollullos
10W · 6D · 5LRecent →DDDLLWLDWLDWWWWWLWWDW
Momentum index
Form split comparison
Wins, draws, and losses across the sampled form window
Season record
League totals anchoring the snapshot — points, goal balance, and season shape vs opponent.
Castilleja
19 pts18% wins
4W · 7D · 11L · 22 played
For17
Against34
Bollullos
36 pts48% wins
10W · 6D · 5L · 21 played
For27
Against18
Season shape comparison
League table W–D–L, goal balance, and form-run counts from league profile signals
League depth signals
Matchup edges
Attack vs opponent defense in the matchup comparison.
- Castilleja offensive edge
Castilleja faces a stingier defense than their attack rating suggests.
-14 - Bollullos offensive edge
Bollullos's attack (60%) vs Castilleja's defense (46%).
+14
Team comparison
Comparison indices from the match data partner.
Castillejalow scoring · cold form
Bollulloscompact defense
H2H in this snapshot
From 1 meeting included in this prediction snapshot.
1Castilleja100%
0Draws
0Bollullos0%