Goal expectancy
1.49Expected goals1.09
From 7 and 7 competition matches
Likely scorelines (Poisson)
Balanced — model leans Castro
Estimated win chances: Castro 46.4%, draw 25.9%, Torina 27.7%. From 7 and 7 competition matches.
TempoMedium
VolatilityLow
Expected goalsMedium
Tactical styleBalanced
Upset potentialMedium
Draw riskMedium
Model confidenceHigh
Outcome model
Sportra's estimate from each team's season goal rates. It is a statistical guide, not betting advice.
Form & momentum
Weighted momentum, recent result run, and form-window W–D–L — the live pulse before kickoff.
45MixedCastro
Weighted momentum
Torina arrives with stronger form weighting (+22 momentum).
67BuildingTorina
Torina · compact defense · hot form
Castro
2W · 3D · 2LRecent →DWLDWLD
Momentum index
Torina
4W · 2D · 1LRecent →DWWWLDW
Momentum index
Form split comparison
Wins, draws, and losses across the sampled form window
Season record
League totals anchoring the snapshot — points, goal balance, and season shape vs opponent.
Table gapTorina +5
Castro
9 pts29% wins
2W · 3D · 2L · 7 played
For14
Against8
Torina
14 pts57% wins
4W · 2D · 1L · 7 played
For8
Against5
Season shape comparison
League table W–D–L, goal balance, and form-run counts from league profile signals
League depth signals
Matchup edges
Attack vs opponent defense in the matchup comparison.
- Castro offensive edge
Castro's attack (67%) vs Torina's defense (50%).
+17 - Torina offensive edge
Torina runs into a stronger home defensive profile.
-17
Team comparison
Comparison indices from the match data partner.
Torinacompact defense · hot form
H2H in this snapshot
From 8 meetings included in this prediction snapshot.
2Castro25%
3Draws
3Torina38%