Goal expectancy
1.39Expected goals1.11
From 35 and 35 competition matches
Likely scorelines (Poisson)
Balanced — model leans Catania
Estimated win chances: Catania 43.3%, draw 26.7%, Bologna 30%. From 35 and 35 competition matches.
TempoMedium
VolatilityLow
Expected goalsMedium
Tactical styleBalanced
Upset potentialHigh
Draw riskMedium
Model confidenceMedium
Outcome model
Sportra's estimate from each team's season goal rates. It is a statistical guide, not betting advice.
Form & momentum
Weighted momentum, recent result run, and form-window W–D–L — the live pulse before kickoff.
44MixedCatania
Weighted momentum
Momentum is balanced — recent results cancel out.
48MixedBologna
Catania
11W · 14D · 10LRecent →DLWLLDDWWDDWWLWDDLLDWDLWLLWDDWDDLWD
Momentum index
Bologna
11W · 12D · 12LRecent →WDDWDLLDWDWLWWDDDDWLLDWDLLWWLWLLDLL
Momentum index
Form split comparison
Wins, draws, and losses across the sampled form window
Season record
League totals anchoring the snapshot — points, goal balance, and season shape vs opponent.
Table gapCatania +2
Catania
47 pts31% wins
11W · 14D · 10L · 35 played
For45
Against47
Bologna
45 pts31% wins
11W · 12D · 12L · 35 played
For38
Against42
Season shape comparison
League table W–D–L, goal balance, and form-run counts from league profile signals
League depth signals
Matchup edges
Attack vs opponent defense in the matchup comparison.
- Catania offensive edge
Catania faces a stingier defense than their attack rating suggests.
-19 - Bologna offensive edge
Bologna's attack (50%) vs Catania's defense (31%).
+19
Team comparison
Comparison indices from the match data partner.
H2H in this snapshot
From 3 meetings included in this prediction snapshot.
2Catania67%
1Draws
0Bologna0%