Goal expectancy
1.28Expected goals1.16
From 14 and 14 competition matches
Likely scorelines (Poisson)
Balanced — model leans Catania
Estimated win chances: Catania 39.2%, draw 27.3%, Palermo 33.4%. From 14 and 14 competition matches.
TempoMedium
VolatilityLow
Expected goalsMedium
Tactical styleBalanced
Upset potentialHigh
Draw riskHigh
Model confidenceLow
Outcome model
Sportra's estimate from each team's season goal rates. It is a statistical guide, not betting advice.
Form & momentum
Weighted momentum, recent result run, and form-window W–D–L — the live pulse before kickoff.
41MixedCatania
Weighted momentum
Momentum is balanced — recent results cancel out.
44MixedPalermo
Catania
4W · 6D · 4LRecent →DLWLLWDDWDDLWD
Momentum index
Palermo
6W · 2D · 6LRecent →LDWLWLWLLWDWLW
Momentum index
Form split comparison
Wins, draws, and losses across the sampled form window
Season record
League totals anchoring the snapshot — points, goal balance, and season shape vs opponent.
Table gapPalermo +2
Catania
18 pts29% wins
4W · 6D · 4L · 14 played
For15
Against20
Palermo
20 pts43% wins
6W · 2D · 6L · 14 played
For16
Against16
Season shape comparison
League table W–D–L, goal balance, and form-run counts from league profile signals
League depth signals
Matchup edges
Attack vs opponent defense in the matchup comparison.
- Catania offensive edge
Catania faces a stingier defense than their attack rating suggests.
-24 - Palermo offensive edge
Palermo's attack (63%) vs Catania's defense (38%).
+25
Team comparison
Comparison indices from the match data partner.
H2H in this snapshot
From 2 meetings included in this prediction snapshot.
2Catania100%
0Draws
0Palermo0%