Goal expectancy
1.39Expected goals1.15
From 33 and 33 competition matches
Likely scorelines (Poisson)
Balanced — model leans Catanzaro
Estimated win chances: Catanzaro 42.4%, draw 26.5%, Palermo 31.1%. From 33 and 33 competition matches.
TempoMedium
VolatilityLow
Expected goalsMedium
Tactical styleBalanced
Upset potentialHigh
Draw riskMedium
Model confidenceMedium
Outcome model
Sportra's estimate from each team's season goal rates. It is a statistical guide, not betting advice.
Form & momentum
Weighted momentum, recent result run, and form-window W–D–L — the live pulse before kickoff.
51MixedCatanzaro
Weighted momentum
Momentum is balanced — recent results cancel out.
47MixedPalermo
Catanzaro
10W · 18D · 5LRecent →DDLWLDWWDWWDDWDLWWDDDDDWDDDLDWLDD
Momentum index
Palermo
12W · 9D · 12LRecent →LWWLDWWDDLLWWLWLLLWDDLDWDLWDWDWLL
Momentum index
Form split comparison
Wins, draws, and losses across the sampled form window
Season record
League totals anchoring the snapshot — points, goal balance, and season shape vs opponent.
Table gapCatanzaro +3
Catanzaro
48 pts30% wins
10W · 18D · 5L · 33 played
For46
Against38
Palermo
45 pts36% wins
12W · 9D · 12L · 33 played
For44
Against37
Season shape comparison
League table W–D–L, goal balance, and form-run counts from league profile signals
League depth signals
Matchup edges
Attack vs opponent defense in the matchup comparison.
- Catanzaro offensive edge
Catanzaro faces a stingier defense than their attack rating suggests.
-4 - Palermo offensive edge
Palermo's attack (52%) vs Catanzaro's defense (48%).
+4
Team comparison
Comparison indices from the match data partner.
H2H in this snapshot
From 5 meetings included in this prediction snapshot.
1Catanzaro20%
2Draws
2Palermo40%