Goal expectancy
1.77Expected goals1.11
From 32 and 32 competition matches
Likely scorelines (Poisson)
Open / transitional — model leans Caudal
Estimated win chances: Caudal 52.8%, draw 23.4%, Siero 23.8%. From 32 and 32 competition matches.
TempoHigh
VolatilityLow
Expected goalsMedium
Tactical styleOpen / transitional
Upset potentialMedium
Draw riskMedium
Model confidenceHigh
Outcome model
Sportra's estimate from each team's season goal rates. It is a statistical guide, not betting advice.
Form & momentum
Weighted momentum, recent result run, and form-window W–D–L — the live pulse before kickoff.
69Hot streakCaudal
Weighted momentum
Caudal carries the sharper recent run (+31 momentum).
38Cold spellSiero
Caudal · hot formSiero · cold form
Caudal
19W · 6D · 7LRecent →WWWWLWWLWWLWWLLWWWDWDDLDLWWWDWWD
Momentum index
Siero
10W · 8D · 14LRecent →WWLLLLLDLWDLDDDLLWWWDWLWWLLWDLLD
Momentum index
Form split comparison
Wins, draws, and losses across the sampled form window
Season record
League totals anchoring the snapshot — points, goal balance, and season shape vs opponent.
Table gapCaudal +25
Caudal
63 pts59% wins
19W · 6D · 7L · 32 played
For56
Against37
Siero
38 pts31% wins
10W · 8D · 14L · 32 played
For38
Against47
Season shape comparison
League table W–D–L, goal balance, and form-run counts from league profile signals
League depth signals
Matchup edges
Attack vs opponent defense in the matchup comparison.
- Caudal offensive edge
Caudal's attack (69%) vs Siero's defense (33%).
+36 - Siero offensive edge
Siero runs into a stronger home defensive profile.
-36
Team comparison
Comparison indices from the match data partner.
Caudalhot form
Sierocold form
H2H in this snapshot
From 2 meetings included in this prediction snapshot.
1Caudal50%
0Draws
1Siero50%