Ceara 3-2 ASA Prediction

CearaCeara
3 — 2FT
ASAASA
OverviewLineupsStatisticsStandingsEventsPlayersPredictionsFormInjuriesH2H

Updated

CearaCearavsAsaAsa

Match DNA · Predictions ↗

Open / transitional — model leans Ceara

Estimated win chances: Ceara 46.3%, draw 24.3%, Asa 29.4%. From 11 and 11 competition matches.

TempoHigh
VolatilityLow
Expected goalsMedium
Tactical styleOpen / transitional
Upset potentialMedium
Draw riskMedium
Model confidenceMedium

Outcome model

Sportra's estimate from each team's season goal rates. It is a statistical guide, not betting advice.

Goal expectancy

1.64Expected goals1.26

From 11 and 11 competition matches

Likely scorelines (Poisson)

  • 1–111.8%
  • 2–19.7%
  • 1–09.4%
  • 2–07.7%
  • 1–27.4%

Form & momentum

Weighted momentum, recent result run, and form-window W–D–L — the live pulse before kickoff.

48MixedCeara
Weighted momentum

Ceara carries the sharper recent run (+25 momentum).

23Cold spellAsa
Ceara · leaky defenseAsa · cold form

Ceara

3W · 5D · 3L
Recent →DDDWWDWLDLL
Momentum index

Asa

3W · 1D · 7L
Recent →LLLWLLLWLDW
Momentum index

Form split comparison

Wins, draws, and losses across the sampled form window

Season record

League totals anchoring the snapshot — points, goal balance, and season shape vs opponent.

Table gapCeara +4

Ceara

14 pts
27% wins

3W · 5D · 3L · 11 played

For
18
Against
19
Goal diff -1

Asa

10 pts
27% wins

3W · 1D · 7L · 11 played

For
12
Against
17
Goal diff -5

Season shape comparison

League table W–D–L, goal balance, and form-run counts from league profile signals

League depth signals

Extremes, discipline windows, and split stats from the full league profile.

Matchup edges

Attack vs opponent defense in the matchup comparison.

  • Ceara offensive edge

    Ceara's attack (57%) vs Asa's defense (38%).

    +19
  • Asa offensive edge

    Asa runs into a stronger home defensive profile.

    -20

Team comparison

Comparison indices from the match data partner.

Attack rating

Attacking threat in the final third.

Ceara57
Asa43

Defense rating

How well each side limits chances.

Ceara63
Asa38

Momentum

Weighted form score (recent results count more).

Ceara48
Asa23

Matchup edge

Attack vs opponent defense (positive = favourable matchup).

Ceara88
Asa10

Volatility

Higher = more swingy results (big losses, goals against).

Ceara34
Asa30

Form index

Head-to-head form comparison from the model.

Ceara75
Asa25

H2H pull

Historical dominance in recent meetings.

Ceara0
Asa0
Cearaleaky defense
Asacold form