Ceara 1-1 BOA Prediction

CearaCeara
1 — 1FT
BOABOA

Updated

Match DNA · Predictions ↗

Open / transitional — model leans Ceara

Estimated win chances: Ceara 42.2%, draw 24.5%, Boa 33.3%. From 13 and 13 competition matches.

TempoHigh
VolatilityLow
Expected goalsMedium
Tactical styleOpen / transitional
Upset potentialHigh
Draw riskMedium
Model confidenceMedium

Outcome model

Sportra's estimate from each team's season goal rates. It is a statistical guide, not betting advice.

Goal expectancy

1.56Expected goals1.36

From 13 and 13 competition matches

Likely scorelines (Poisson)

  • 1–111.8%
  • 2–19.2%
  • 1–08.7%
  • 1–28.1%
  • 0–17.6%

Form & momentum

Weighted momentum, recent result run, and form-window W–D–L — the live pulse before kickoff.

48MixedCeara
Weighted momentum

Momentum is balanced — recent results cancel out.

44MixedBoa
Ceara · leaky defense

Ceara

4W · 5D · 4L
Recent →LWDDDWWDWLDLL
Momentum index

Boa

4W · 5D · 4L
Recent →WDDLLDWWLLWDD
Momentum index

Form split comparison

Wins, draws, and losses across the sampled form window

Season record

League totals anchoring the snapshot — points, goal balance, and season shape vs opponent.

Table gapLevel on points

Ceara

17 pts
31% wins

4W · 5D · 4L · 13 played

For
21
Against
22
Goal diff -1

Boa

17 pts
31% wins

4W · 5D · 4L · 13 played

For
18
Against
17
Goal diff +1

Season shape comparison

League table W–D–L, goal balance, and form-run counts from league profile signals

League depth signals

Extremes, discipline windows, and split stats from the full league profile.

Matchup edges

Attack vs opponent defense in the matchup comparison.

  • Ceara offensive edge

    Ceara's attack (62%) vs Boa's defense (53%).

    +9
  • Boa offensive edge

    Boa runs into a stronger home defensive profile.

    -9

Team comparison

Comparison indices from the match data partner.

Attack rating

Attacking threat in the final third.

Ceara62
Boa38

Defense rating

How well each side limits chances.

Ceara47
Boa53

Momentum

Weighted form score (recent results count more).

Ceara48
Boa44

Matchup edge

Attack vs opponent defense (positive = favourable matchup).

Ceara68
Boa32

Volatility

Higher = more swingy results (big losses, goals against).

Ceara34
Boa30

Form index

Head-to-head form comparison from the model.

Ceara55
Boa45

H2H pull

Historical dominance in recent meetings.

Ceara0
Boa0
Cearaleaky defense