Goal expectancy
1.09Expected goals0.97
From 21 and 21 competition matches
Likely scorelines (Poisson)
Defensive grind — model leans Ceara
Estimated win chances: Ceara 38%, draw 30.2%, Cuiaba 31.8%. From 21 and 21 competition matches.
Low tempo / cageyTempoMedium
VolatilityLow
Expected goalsLow
Tactical styleDefensive grind
Upset potentialHigh
Draw riskHigh
Model confidenceLow
Outcome model
Sportra's estimate from each team's season goal rates. It is a statistical guide, not betting advice.
Form & momentum
Weighted momentum, recent result run, and form-window W–D–L — the live pulse before kickoff.
39Cold spellCeara
Weighted momentum
Momentum is balanced — recent results cancel out.
41MixedCuiaba
Ceara · low scoring · cold formCuiaba · Structured / conservative
Ceara
6W · 7D · 8LRecent →WWLDDLLLDWLLWLLDDWWDD
Momentum index
Cuiaba
5W · 11D · 5LRecent →DDLLDWDLWWWLDDDDWDLDD
Momentum index
Form split comparison
Wins, draws, and losses across the sampled form window
Season record
League totals anchoring the snapshot — points, goal balance, and season shape vs opponent.
Table gapCuiaba +1
Ceara
25 pts29% wins
6W · 7D · 8L · 21 played
For22
Against25
Cuiaba
26 pts24% wins
5W · 11D · 5L · 21 played
For16
Against16
Season shape comparison
League table W–D–L, goal balance, and form-run counts from league profile signals
League depth signals
Matchup edges
Attack vs opponent defense in the matchup comparison.
- Ceara offensive edge
Ceara's attack (64%) vs Cuiaba's defense (42%).
+22 - Cuiaba offensive edge
Cuiaba runs into a stronger home defensive profile.
-22
Team comparison
Comparison indices from the match data partner.
Cearalow scoring · cold form
CuiabaStructured / conservative
H2H in this snapshot
From 5 meetings included in this prediction snapshot.
1Ceara20%
3Draws
1Cuiaba20%