Ceara 2-0 Fluminense
Key events
View all- A. Galeano
- Ignácio
- P. Raul
FT 2–0
Predictions & odds
View allModel outlook versus market-implied chances (overround removed from decimal odds). For entertainment and analysis only — not betting advice.
Estimated outcome
Estimated outcome mix from Sportra's pre-match model
- Ceara39.9%
- Draw28.8%
- Fluminense31.4%
Venue
Estadio Castelão
Fortaleza · Brazil
- Address
- Avenida Alberto Craveiro, Passaré
- Surface
- grass
- Capacity
- 63903
Match
Lucas Paulo Torezin, Brazil
Round 31
- Referee
- Lucas Paulo Torezin, Brazil
- Round
- 31
- Date
Competition
League · Brazil
- Country
- Brazil (BR)
- Season
- 2025
- Dates
- 2025-03-29 → 2025-12-07
Match statistics
View allKey metrics
Visual snapshot of possession, chance quality, and shooting.
Possession
44%44%56%56%
Expected goals (xG)
1.1279%0.2921%
Total shots
1478%422%
Shots on target
563%338%
Team form & competition
View all- #17 Position
- 43 Points
- 11-10-17 W-D-L
- 34/40 Goals F/A
- Best wins
- 3-0 / 1-2
- Worst defeats
- 1-3 / 3-0
- #5 Position
- 64 Points
- 19-7-12 W-D-L
- 50/39 Goals F/A
- Best wins
- 6-0 / 0-2
- Worst defeats
- 0-2 / 4-2
Head to head
View all4Cearawins
4Drawsmatches
7Fluminensewins
Recorded meetings: 15 (available previous meetings, not necessarily all-time).
- Highest scoring
- Ceara 1–3 Fluminense
- Ceara most goals
- Fluminense 2–2 Ceara
- Fluminense most goals
- Fluminense 4–0 Ceara
Match headlines
Headlines link to a short summary; the full story is on the original publisher’s site.



Ceara created the clearer chances on xG (1.12 vs 0.29, Δ 0.83). Ceara fired more attempts (14 vs 4 shots). Fluminense was more accurate in front of goal (75% on target vs 36%). Fluminense held more of the ball (56% possession).
Ceara outperformed their xG by 0.9 goals (2 scored vs 1.12 xG).