Goal expectancy
1.08Expected goals1.23
From 8 and 8 competition matches
Likely scorelines (Poisson)
Ceilandense 1-3 Sobradinho EC Prediction
Balanced — model leans Sobradinho Ec
Estimated win chances: Ceilandense 32.2%, draw 28.2%, Sobradinho Ec 39.6%. From 8 and 8 competition matches.
TempoMedium
VolatilityLow
Expected goalsLow
Tactical styleBalanced
Upset potentialHigh
Draw riskHigh
Model confidenceLow
Outcome model
Sportra's estimate from each team's season goal rates. It is a statistical guide, not betting advice.
Form & momentum
Weighted momentum, recent result run, and form-window W–D–L — the live pulse before kickoff.
29Cold spellCeilandense
Weighted momentum
Sobradinho Ec arrives with stronger form weighting (+15 momentum).
44MixedSobradinho Ec
Ceilandense · High-risk / fragileSobradinho Ec · Structured / conservative
Ceilandense
1W · 2D · 5LRecent →WDLLDLLL
Momentum index
Sobradinho Ec
2W · 3D · 3LRecent →WDLWDLLD
Momentum index
Form split comparison
Wins, draws, and losses across the sampled form window
Season record
League totals anchoring the snapshot — points, goal balance, and season shape vs opponent.
Table gapSobradinho Ec +4
Ceilandense
5 pts13% wins
1W · 2D · 5L · 8 played
For7
Against15
Sobradinho Ec
9 pts25% wins
2W · 3D · 3L · 8 played
For6
Against5
Season shape comparison
League table W–D–L, goal balance, and form-run counts from league profile signals
League depth signals
Matchup edges
Attack vs opponent defense in the matchup comparison.
- Ceilandense offensive edge
Ceilandense faces a stingier defense than their attack rating suggests.
-23 - Sobradinho Ec offensive edge
Sobradinho Ec's attack (50%) vs Ceilandense's defense (27%).
+23
Team comparison
Comparison indices from the match data partner.
CeilandenseHigh-risk / fragile
Sobradinho EcStructured / conservative
H2H in this snapshot
From 1 meeting included in this prediction snapshot.
0Ceilandense0%
0Draws
1Sobradinho Ec100%