Goal expectancy
1.45Expected goals1.08
From 10 and 10 competition matches
Likely scorelines (Poisson)
Ceilândia 1-0 Luverdense Prediction
Balanced — model leans Ceilândia
Estimated win chances: Ceilândia 45.6%, draw 26.3%, Luverdense 28.1%. From 10 and 10 competition matches.
TempoMedium
VolatilityLow
Expected goalsMedium
Tactical styleBalanced
Upset potentialMedium
Draw riskMedium
Model confidenceMedium
Outcome model
Sportra's estimate from each team's season goal rates. It is a statistical guide, not betting advice.
Form & momentum
Weighted momentum, recent result run, and form-window W–D–L — the live pulse before kickoff.
63BuildingCeilândia
Weighted momentum
Momentum is balanced — recent results cancel out.
63BuildingLuverdense
Ceilândia
6W · 2D · 2LRecent →WLWWLDDWWW
Momentum index
Luverdense
6W · 2D · 2LRecent →WDWLWLDWWW
Momentum index
Form split comparison
Wins, draws, and losses across the sampled form window
Season record
League totals anchoring the snapshot — points, goal balance, and season shape vs opponent.
Table gapLevel on points
Ceilândia
20 pts60% wins
6W · 2D · 2L · 10 played
For16
Against10
Luverdense
20 pts60% wins
6W · 2D · 2L · 10 played
For12
Against10
Season shape comparison
League table W–D–L, goal balance, and form-run counts from league profile signals
League depth signals
Matchup edges
Attack vs opponent defense in the matchup comparison.
- Ceilândia offensive edge
Ceilândia's attack (56%) vs Luverdense's defense (50%).
+6 - Luverdense offensive edge
Luverdense runs into a stronger home defensive profile.
-6
Team comparison
Comparison indices from the match data partner.
H2H in this snapshot
From 1 meeting included in this prediction snapshot.
0Ceilândia0%
1Draws
0Luverdense0%