Goal expectancy
1.52Expected goals1.29
From 9 and 9 competition matches
Likely scorelines (Poisson)
Open / transitional — model leans Ceilândia
Estimated win chances: Ceilândia 42.7%, draw 25%, Mixto 32.3%. From 9 and 9 competition matches.
TempoHigh
VolatilityLow
Expected goalsMedium
Tactical styleOpen / transitional
Upset potentialHigh
Draw riskMedium
Model confidenceMedium
Outcome model
Sportra's estimate from each team's season goal rates. It is a statistical guide, not betting advice.
Form & momentum
Weighted momentum, recent result run, and form-window W–D–L — the live pulse before kickoff.
56BuildingCeilândia
Weighted momentum
Mixto arrives with stronger form weighting (+8 momentum).
64BuildingMixto
Ceilândia
5W · 2D · 2LRecent →LWWLDDWWW
Momentum index
Mixto
4W · 4D · 1LRecent →WDWWDDLDW
Momentum index
Form split comparison
Wins, draws, and losses across the sampled form window
Season record
League totals anchoring the snapshot — points, goal balance, and season shape vs opponent.
Table gapCeilândia +1
Ceilândia
17 pts56% wins
5W · 2D · 2L · 9 played
For14
Against9
Mixto
16 pts44% wins
4W · 4D · 1L · 9 played
For17
Against11
Season shape comparison
League table W–D–L, goal balance, and form-run counts from league profile signals
League depth signals
Matchup edges
Attack vs opponent defense in the matchup comparison.
- Ceilândia offensive edge
Ceilândia faces a stingier defense than their attack rating suggests.
-10 - Mixto offensive edge
Mixto's attack (60%) vs Ceilândia's defense (50%).
+10
Team comparison
Comparison indices from the match data partner.
H2H in this snapshot
From 1 meeting included in this prediction snapshot.
0Ceilândia0%
1Draws
0Mixto0%