Celaya 2-3 Cimarrones Prediction

CelayaCelaya
2 — 3FT
CimarronesCimarrones
OverviewLineupsStatisticsStandingsEventsPlayersPredictionsFormInjuriesH2H

Updated

CelayaCelayavsCimarronesCimarrones

Match DNA · Predictions ↗

Balanced — model leans Cimarrones

Estimated win chances: Celaya 31.9%, draw 26%, Cimarrones 42.1%. From 8 and 9 competition matches.

TempoMedium
VolatilityLow
Expected goalsMedium
Tactical styleBalanced
Upset potentialHigh
Draw riskMedium
Model confidenceMedium

Outcome model

Sportra's estimate from each team's season goal rates. It is a statistical guide, not betting advice.

Goal expectancy

1.21Expected goals1.43

From 8 and 9 competition matches

Likely scorelines (Poisson)

  • 1–112.6%
  • 0–110.4%
  • 1–29%
  • 1–08.8%
  • 2–17.6%

Form & momentum

Weighted momentum, recent result run, and form-window W–D–L — the live pulse before kickoff.

17Cold spellCelaya
Weighted momentum

Cimarrones arrives with stronger form weighting (+47 momentum).

64BuildingCimarrones
Celaya · low scoring · cold form

Celaya

0W · 4D · 4L
Recent →DLDLDLLD
Momentum index

Cimarrones

5W · 3D · 1L
Recent →DWWLDWWDW
Momentum index

Form split comparison

Wins, draws, and losses across the sampled form window

Season record

League totals anchoring the snapshot — points, goal balance, and season shape vs opponent.

Celaya

4 pts
0% wins

0W · 4D · 4L · 8 played

For
5
Against
13
Goal diff -8

Cimarrones

18 pts
56% wins

5W · 3D · 1L · 9 played

For
16
Against
12
Goal diff +4

Season shape comparison

League table W–D–L, goal balance, and form-run counts from league profile signals

League depth signals

Extremes, discipline windows, and split stats from the full league profile.

Matchup edges

Attack vs opponent defense in the matchup comparison.

  • Celaya offensive edge

    Celaya faces a stingier defense than their attack rating suggests.

    -30
  • Cimarrones offensive edge

    Cimarrones's attack (70%) vs Celaya's defense (40%).

    +30

Team comparison

Comparison indices from the match data partner.

Attack rating

Attacking threat in the final third.

Celaya30
Cimarrones70

Defense rating

How well each side limits chances.

Celaya40
Cimarrones60

Momentum

Weighted form score (recent results count more).

Celaya17
Cimarrones64

Matchup edge

Attack vs opponent defense (positive = favourable matchup).

Celaya-10
Cimarrones110

Volatility

Higher = more swingy results (big losses, goals against).

Celaya32
Cimarrones30

Form index

Head-to-head form comparison from the model.

Celaya27
Cimarrones73

H2H pull

Historical dominance in recent meetings.

Celaya50
Cimarrones50
Celayalow scoring · cold form