Čelik 2-0 Goražde Prediction

ČelikČelik
2 — 0FT
GoraždeGoražde

Updated

Match DNA · Predictions ↗

Balanced — model leans Čelik

Estimated win chances: Čelik 40.9%, draw 26.1%, Goražde 33%. From 3 and 3 competition matches.

TempoMedium
VolatilityLow
Expected goalsMedium
Tactical styleBalanced
Upset potentialHigh
Draw riskMedium
Model confidenceLow

Outcome model

Sportra's estimate from each team's season goal rates. It is a statistical guide, not betting advice.

Goal expectancy

1.40Expected goals1.23

From 3 and 3 competition matches

Likely scorelines (Poisson)

  • 1–112.7%
  • 1–010.3%
  • 0–19.1%
  • 2–18.9%
  • 1–27.8%

Form & momentum

Weighted momentum, recent result run, and form-window W–D–L — the live pulse before kickoff.

61BuildingČelik
Weighted momentum

Goražde arrives with stronger form weighting (+17 momentum).

78Hot streakGoražde
Čelik · Structured / conservativeGoražde · hot form

Čelik

1W · 2D · 0L
Recent →WDD
Momentum index

Goražde

2W · 1D · 0L
Recent →WDW
Momentum index

Form split comparison

Wins, draws, and losses across the sampled form window

Season record

League totals anchoring the snapshot — points, goal balance, and season shape vs opponent.

Table gapGoražde +2

Čelik

5 pts
33% wins

1W · 2D · 0L · 3 played

For
3
Against
2
Goal diff +1

Goražde

7 pts
67% wins

2W · 1D · 0L · 3 played

For
6
Against
4
Goal diff +2

Season shape comparison

League table W–D–L, goal balance, and form-run counts from league profile signals

League depth signals

Extremes, discipline windows, and split stats from the full league profile.

Matchup edges

Attack vs opponent defense in the matchup comparison.

  • Čelik offensive edge

    Čelik faces a stingier defense than their attack rating suggests.

    0
  • Goražde offensive edge

    Goražde runs into a stronger home defensive profile.

    0

Team comparison

Comparison indices from the match data partner.

Attack rating

Attacking threat in the final third.

Čelik33
Goražde67

Defense rating

How well each side limits chances.

Čelik67
Goražde33

Momentum

Weighted form score (recent results count more).

Čelik61
Goražde78

Matchup edge

Attack vs opponent defense (positive = favourable matchup).

Čelik50
Goražde50

Volatility

Higher = more swingy results (big losses, goals against).

Čelik30
Goražde30

Form index

Head-to-head form comparison from the model.

Čelik42
Goražde58

H2H pull

Historical dominance in recent meetings.

Čelik0
Goražde0
ČelikStructured / conservative
Goraždehot form