Celtic 4-1 Kilmarnock Prediction

CelticCeltic
4 — 1FT
KilmarnockKilmarnock
OverviewLineupsStatisticsStandingsEventsPlayersPredictionsFormInjuriesH2H

Updated

CelticCelticvsKilmarnockKilmarnock

Match DNA · Predictions ↗

Open / transitional — model leans Celtic

Estimated win chances: Celtic 55.2%, draw 23.1%, Kilmarnock 21.7%. From 23 and 23 competition matches.

TempoHigh
VolatilityLow
Expected goalsMedium
Tactical styleOpen / transitional
Upset potentialMedium
Draw riskMedium
Model confidenceHigh

Outcome model

Sportra's estimate from each team's season goal rates. It is a statistical guide, not betting advice.

Goal expectancy

1.80Expected goals1.04

From 23 and 23 competition matches

Likely scorelines (Poisson)

  • 1–111.4%
  • 1–011%
  • 2–110.3%
  • 2–09.9%
  • 0–16.3%

Form & momentum

Weighted momentum, recent result run, and form-window W–D–L — the live pulse before kickoff.

75Hot streakCeltic
Weighted momentum

Celtic carries the sharper recent run (+34 momentum).

41MixedKilmarnock
Celtic · compact defense · hot form

Celtic

15W · 4D · 4L
Recent →WWWLWWWWWLWDDLWWWWLDWDW
Momentum index

Kilmarnock

7W · 8D · 8L
Recent →DLDDWDWLLDWLWLLWWLDWLDD
Momentum index

Form split comparison

Wins, draws, and losses across the sampled form window

Season record

League totals anchoring the snapshot — points, goal balance, and season shape vs opponent.

Table gapCeltic +20

Celtic

49 pts
65% wins

15W · 4D · 4L · 23 played

For
48
Against
16
Goal diff +32

Kilmarnock

29 pts
30% wins

7W · 8D · 8L · 23 played

For
34
Against
30
Goal diff +4

Season shape comparison

League table W–D–L, goal balance, and form-run counts from league profile signals

League depth signals

Extremes, discipline windows, and split stats from the full league profile.

Matchup edges

Attack vs opponent defense in the matchup comparison.

  • Celtic offensive edge

    Celtic's attack (65%) vs Kilmarnock's defense (25%).

    +40
  • Kilmarnock offensive edge

    Kilmarnock runs into a stronger home defensive profile.

    -40

Team comparison

Comparison indices from the match data partner.

Attack rating

Attacking threat in the final third.

Celtic65
Kilmarnock35

Defense rating

How well each side limits chances.

Celtic75
Kilmarnock25

Momentum

Weighted form score (recent results count more).

Celtic75
Kilmarnock41

Matchup edge

Attack vs opponent defense (positive = favourable matchup).

Celtic130
Kilmarnock-30

Volatility

Higher = more swingy results (big losses, goals against).

Celtic30
Kilmarnock30

Form index

Head-to-head form comparison from the model.

Celtic67
Kilmarnock33

H2H pull

Historical dominance in recent meetings.

Celtic71
Kilmarnock29
Celticcompact defense · hot form