Celtic 2-2 ST Mirren Prediction

CelticCeltic
2 — 2FT
ST MirrenST Mirren

Updated

Match DNA · Predictions ↗

Open / transitional — model leans Celtic

Estimated win chances: Celtic 68.6%, draw 17.8%, St Mirren 13.6%. From 35 and 35 competition matches.

TempoHigh
VolatilityLow
Expected goalsHigh
Tactical styleOpen / transitional
Upset potentialLow
Draw riskLow
Model confidenceHigh

Outcome model

Sportra's estimate from each team's season goal rates. It is a statistical guide, not betting advice.

Goal expectancy

2.35Expected goals0.95

From 35 and 35 competition matches

Likely scorelines (Poisson)

  • 2–011.2%
  • 2–110.7%
  • 1–09.5%
  • 1–19.1%
  • 3–08.8%

Form & momentum

Weighted momentum, recent result run, and form-window W–D–L — the live pulse before kickoff.

88Hot streakCeltic
Weighted momentum

Celtic carries the sharper recent run (+48 momentum).

40MixedSt Mirren
Celtic · compact defense · hot form

Celtic

31W · 2D · 2L
Recent →LWDWWWWWWWWWWWWDWWWWWWWWWWWWLWWWWWW
Momentum index

St Mirren

12W · 9D · 14L
Recent →DLLLWWDLDWLLWWLLDDDWDDLLWDLWWLWWWLL
Momentum index

Form split comparison

Wins, draws, and losses across the sampled form window

Season record

League totals anchoring the snapshot — points, goal balance, and season shape vs opponent.

Table gapCeltic +50

Celtic

95 pts
89% wins

31W · 2D · 2L · 35 played

For
105
Against
28
Goal diff +77

St Mirren

45 pts
34% wins

12W · 9D · 14L · 35 played

For
41
Against
53
Goal diff -12

Season shape comparison

League table W–D–L, goal balance, and form-run counts from league profile signals

League depth signals

Extremes, discipline windows, and split stats from the full league profile.

Matchup edges

Attack vs opponent defense in the matchup comparison.

  • Celtic offensive edge

    Celtic's attack (59%) vs St Mirren's defense (39%).

    +20
  • St Mirren offensive edge

    St Mirren runs into a stronger home defensive profile.

    -20

Team comparison

Comparison indices from the match data partner.

Attack rating

Attacking threat in the final third.

Celtic59
St Mirren41

Defense rating

How well each side limits chances.

Celtic61
St Mirren39

Momentum

Weighted form score (recent results count more).

Celtic88
St Mirren40

Matchup edge

Attack vs opponent defense (positive = favourable matchup).

Celtic90
St Mirren10

Volatility

Higher = more swingy results (big losses, goals against).

Celtic30
St Mirren30

Form index

Head-to-head form comparison from the model.

Celtic71
St Mirren29

H2H pull

Historical dominance in recent meetings.

Celtic80
St Mirren20
Celticcompact defense · hot form