Goal expectancy
1.49Expected goals0.97
From 22 and 22 competition matches
Likely scorelines (Poisson)
Central Espanol 1-0 Progreso Prediction
Balanced — model leans Central Espanol
Estimated win chances: Central Espanol 49.3%, draw 26.1%, Progreso 24.6%. From 22 and 22 competition matches.
TempoMedium
VolatilityLow
Expected goalsMedium
Tactical styleBalanced
Upset potentialMedium
Draw riskMedium
Model confidenceHigh
Outcome model
Sportra's estimate from each team's season goal rates. It is a statistical guide, not betting advice.
Form & momentum
Weighted momentum, recent result run, and form-window W–D–L — the live pulse before kickoff.
46MixedCentral Espanol
Weighted momentum
Central Espanol carries the sharper recent run (+20 momentum).
26Cold spellProgreso
Progreso · low scoring · cold form
Central Espanol
9W · 6D · 7LRecent →DLDDWLWWLWLDWWDLLDLWWW
Momentum index
Progreso
4W · 4D · 14LRecent →LWLLWLLLLLWLLDDLWDDLLL
Momentum index
Form split comparison
Wins, draws, and losses across the sampled form window
Season record
League totals anchoring the snapshot — points, goal balance, and season shape vs opponent.
Table gapCentral Espanol +17
Central Espanol
33 pts41% wins
9W · 6D · 7L · 22 played
For27
Against26
Progreso
16 pts18% wins
4W · 4D · 14L · 22 played
For18
Against34
Season shape comparison
League table W–D–L, goal balance, and form-run counts from league profile signals
League depth signals
Matchup edges
Attack vs opponent defense in the matchup comparison.
- Central Espanol offensive edge
Central Espanol's attack (29%) vs Progreso's defense (22%).
+7 - Progreso offensive edge
Progreso runs into a stronger home defensive profile.
-7
Team comparison
Comparison indices from the match data partner.
Progresolow scoring · cold form
H2H in this snapshot
From 10 meetings included in this prediction snapshot.
6Central Espanol60%
2Draws
2Progreso20%