Goal expectancy
1.44Expected goals0.96
From 28 and 27 competition matches
Likely scorelines (Poisson)
Central Norte 1-3 Alumni Prediction
Balanced — model leans Central Norte
Estimated win chances: Central Norte 48.2%, draw 26.7%, Alumni 25.1%. From 28 and 27 competition matches.
TempoMedium
VolatilityLow
Expected goalsLow
Tactical styleBalanced
Upset potentialMedium
Draw riskMedium
Model confidenceHigh
Outcome model
Sportra's estimate from each team's season goal rates. It is a statistical guide, not betting advice.
Form & momentum
Weighted momentum, recent result run, and form-window W–D–L — the live pulse before kickoff.
54BuildingCentral Norte
Weighted momentum
Central Norte carries the sharper recent run (+22 momentum).
32Cold spellAlumni
Alumni · low scoring · cold form
Central Norte
10W · 10D · 8LRecent →WWLWDLWLWLDDDWWWLWWDLDDDDLLD
Momentum index
Alumni
5W · 7D · 15LRecent →LLDDDLWLWWWLDDLWLLLDLLLLLDL
Momentum index
Form split comparison
Wins, draws, and losses across the sampled form window
Season record
League totals anchoring the snapshot — points, goal balance, and season shape vs opponent.
Central Norte
40 pts36% wins
10W · 10D · 8L · 28 played
For30
Against29
Alumni
22 pts19% wins
5W · 7D · 15L · 27 played
For27
Against40
Season shape comparison
League table W–D–L, goal balance, and form-run counts from league profile signals
League depth signals
Matchup edges
Attack vs opponent defense in the matchup comparison.
- Central Norte offensive edge
Central Norte's attack (50%) vs Alumni's defense (31%).
+19 - Alumni offensive edge
Alumni runs into a stronger home defensive profile.
-19
Team comparison
Comparison indices from the match data partner.
Alumnilow scoring · cold form
H2H in this snapshot
From 2 meetings included in this prediction snapshot.
1Central Norte50%
0Draws
1Alumni50%