Cerro 0-0 Progreso Prediction

CerroCerro
0 — 0FT
ProgresoProgreso
OverviewLineupsStatisticsStandingsEventsPlayersPredictionsFormInjuriesH2H

Updated

CerroCerrovsProgresoProgreso

Match DNA · Predictions ↗

Balanced — model leans Cerro

Estimated win chances: Cerro 51.6%, draw 24.7%, Progreso 23.7%. From 9 and 9 competition matches.

TempoMedium
VolatilityLow
Expected goalsMedium
Tactical styleBalanced
Upset potentialMedium
Draw riskMedium
Model confidenceHigh

Outcome model

Sportra's estimate from each team's season goal rates. It is a statistical guide, not betting advice.

Goal expectancy

1.63Expected goals1.02

From 9 and 9 competition matches

Likely scorelines (Poisson)

  • 1–112.1%
  • 1–011.9%
  • 2–19.9%
  • 2–09.7%
  • 0–17.4%

Form & momentum

Weighted momentum, recent result run, and form-window W–D–L — the live pulse before kickoff.

51MixedCerro
Weighted momentum

Cerro carries the sharper recent run (+20 momentum).

31Cold spellProgreso
Cerro · Structured / conservativeProgreso · High-risk / fragile

Cerro

3W · 4D · 2L
Recent →WDDDWLLWD
Momentum index

Progreso

1W · 4D · 4L
Recent →LDWDDDLLL
Momentum index

Form split comparison

Wins, draws, and losses across the sampled form window

Season record

League totals anchoring the snapshot — points, goal balance, and season shape vs opponent.

Table gapCerro +6

Cerro

13 pts
33% wins

3W · 4D · 2L · 9 played

For
9
Against
8
Goal diff +1

Progreso

7 pts
11% wins

1W · 4D · 4L · 9 played

For
10
Against
19
Goal diff -9

Season shape comparison

League table W–D–L, goal balance, and form-run counts from league profile signals

League depth signals

Extremes, discipline windows, and split stats from the full league profile.

Matchup edges

Attack vs opponent defense in the matchup comparison.

  • Cerro offensive edge

    Cerro's attack (50%) vs Progreso's defense (40%).

    +10
  • Progreso offensive edge

    Progreso runs into a stronger home defensive profile.

    -10

Team comparison

Comparison indices from the match data partner.

Attack rating

Attacking threat in the final third.

Cerro50
Progreso50

Defense rating

How well each side limits chances.

Cerro60
Progreso40

Momentum

Weighted form score (recent results count more).

Cerro51
Progreso31

Matchup edge

Attack vs opponent defense (positive = favourable matchup).

Cerro70
Progreso30

Volatility

Higher = more swingy results (big losses, goals against).

Cerro30
Progreso43

Form index

Head-to-head form comparison from the model.

Cerro60
Progreso40

H2H pull

Historical dominance in recent meetings.

Cerro38
Progreso62
CerroStructured / conservative
ProgresoHigh-risk / fragile

H2H in this snapshot

From 7 meetings included in this prediction snapshot.

3Cerro43%
2Draws
2Progreso29%

Recent meetings

Progreso
0 – 0FT
Cerro

Segunda División2nd Phase, round 9
Cerro
2 – 0FT
Progreso

Primera División - ClausuraClausura, round 5
Progreso
2 – 1FT
Cerro

Segunda División1st Phase, round 2
Cerro
1 – 1FT
Progreso

Segunda División2nd Phase, round 20
Progreso
2 – 0FT
Cerro

Primera División - AperturaApertura, round 5
Progreso
0 – 1FT
Cerro

Primera División - ClausuraClausura, round 3
Cerro
2 – 3FT
Progreso

Primera División - AperturaApertura, round 3