Goal expectancy
1.40Expected goals1.33
From 6 and 6 competition matches
Likely scorelines (Poisson)
Balanced — too close to call
Estimated win chances: Cesena 38.8%, draw 25.6%, Avellino 35.6%. From 6 and 6 competition matches.
TempoMedium
VolatilityLow
Expected goalsMedium
Tactical styleBalanced
Upset potentialMedium
Draw riskMedium
Model confidenceLow
Outcome model
Sportra's estimate from each team's season goal rates. It is a statistical guide, not betting advice.
Form & momentum
Weighted momentum, recent result run, and form-window W–D–L — the live pulse before kickoff.
33Cold spellCesena
Weighted momentum
Avellino arrives with stronger form weighting (+25 momentum).
58BuildingAvellino
Cesena · cold form
Cesena
1W · 4D · 1LRecent →LDDDWD
Momentum index
Avellino
3W · 1D · 2LRecent →WLDWWL
Momentum index
Form split comparison
Wins, draws, and losses across the sampled form window
Season record
League totals anchoring the snapshot — points, goal balance, and season shape vs opponent.
Table gapAvellino +3
Cesena
7 pts17% wins
1W · 4D · 1L · 6 played
For7
Against8
Avellino
10 pts50% wins
3W · 1D · 2L · 6 played
For11
Against7
Season shape comparison
League table W–D–L, goal balance, and form-run counts from league profile signals
League depth signals
Matchup edges
Attack vs opponent defense in the matchup comparison.
- Cesena offensive edge
Cesena faces a stingier defense than their attack rating suggests.
-20 - Avellino offensive edge
Avellino's attack (63%) vs Cesena's defense (42%).
+21
Team comparison
Comparison indices from the match data partner.
Cesenacold form
H2H in this snapshot
From 6 meetings included in this prediction snapshot.
4Cesena67%
2Draws
0Avellino0%