Goal expectancy
1.07Expected goals1.20
From 11 and 10 competition matches
Likely scorelines (Poisson)
Balanced — model leans Genoa
Estimated win chances: Cesena 32.5%, draw 28.5%, Genoa 39%. From 11 and 10 competition matches.
TempoMedium
VolatilityLow
Expected goalsLow
Tactical styleBalanced
Upset potentialHigh
Draw riskHigh
Model confidenceLow
Outcome model
Sportra's estimate from each team's season goal rates. It is a statistical guide, not betting advice.
Form & momentum
Weighted momentum, recent result run, and form-window W–D–L — the live pulse before kickoff.
24Cold spellCesena
Weighted momentum
Genoa arrives with stronger form weighting (+26 momentum).
50MixedGenoa
Cesena · low scoring · cold form
Cesena
1W · 3D · 7LRecent →WLLDLDDLLLL
Momentum index
Genoa
4W · 3D · 3LRecent →WLWDDLLWWD
Momentum index
Form split comparison
Wins, draws, and losses across the sampled form window
Season record
League totals anchoring the snapshot — points, goal balance, and season shape vs opponent.
Cesena
6 pts9% wins
1W · 3D · 7L · 11 played
For4
Against13
Genoa
15 pts40% wins
4W · 3D · 3L · 10 played
For14
Against12
Season shape comparison
League table W–D–L, goal balance, and form-run counts from league profile signals
League depth signals
Matchup edges
Attack vs opponent defense in the matchup comparison.
- Cesena offensive edge
Cesena faces a stingier defense than their attack rating suggests.
-31 - Genoa offensive edge
Genoa's attack (71%) vs Cesena's defense (40%).
+31
Team comparison
Comparison indices from the match data partner.
Cesenalow scoring · cold form
H2H in this snapshot
From 2 meetings included in this prediction snapshot.
1Cesena50%
1Draws
0Genoa0%