Goal expectancy
1.27Expected goals1.05
From 9 and 9 competition matches
Likely scorelines (Poisson)
Balanced — model leans Cesena
Estimated win chances: Cesena 41.4%, draw 28%, Lecce 30.6%. From 9 and 9 competition matches.
TempoMedium
VolatilityLow
Expected goalsLow
Tactical styleBalanced
Upset potentialHigh
Draw riskHigh
Model confidenceMedium
Outcome model
Sportra's estimate from each team's season goal rates. It is a statistical guide, not betting advice.
Form & momentum
Weighted momentum, recent result run, and form-window W–D–L — the live pulse before kickoff.
13Cold spellCesena
Weighted momentum
Momentum is balanced — recent results cancel out.
16Cold spellLecce
Cesena · low scoring · cold formLecce · High-risk / fragile
Cesena
0W · 3D · 6LRecent →LDLDDLLLL
Momentum index
Lecce
1W · 2D · 6LRecent →DLLDLLLWL
Momentum index
Form split comparison
Wins, draws, and losses across the sampled form window
Season record
League totals anchoring the snapshot — points, goal balance, and season shape vs opponent.
Table gapLecce +2
Cesena
3 pts0% wins
0W · 3D · 6L · 9 played
For3
Against12
Lecce
5 pts11% wins
1W · 2D · 6L · 9 played
For7
Against16
Season shape comparison
League table W–D–L, goal balance, and form-run counts from league profile signals
League depth signals
Matchup edges
Attack vs opponent defense in the matchup comparison.
- Cesena offensive edge
Cesena faces a stingier defense than their attack rating suggests.
-16 - Lecce offensive edge
Lecce's attack (80%) vs Cesena's defense (64%).
+16
Team comparison
Comparison indices from the match data partner.
Cesenalow scoring · cold form
LecceHigh-risk / fragile
H2H in this snapshot
From 2 meetings included in this prediction snapshot.
1Cesena50%
1Draws
0Lecce0%