Goal expectancy
1.73Expected goals0.96
From 13 and 14 competition matches
Likely scorelines (Poisson)
Balanced — model leans Ceuta Ii
Estimated win chances: Ceuta Ii 55.5%, draw 23.7%, Coria Cf 20.8%. From 13 and 14 competition matches.
TempoMedium
VolatilityLow
Expected goalsMedium
Tactical styleBalanced
Upset potentialMedium
Draw riskMedium
Model confidenceHigh
Outcome model
Sportra's estimate from each team's season goal rates. It is a statistical guide, not betting advice.
Form & momentum
Weighted momentum, recent result run, and form-window W–D–L — the live pulse before kickoff.
60BuildingCeuta Ii
Weighted momentum
Ceuta Ii carries the sharper recent run (+45 momentum).
15Cold spellCoria Cf
Coria Cf · High-risk / fragile
Ceuta Ii
6W · 4D · 3LRecent →LWWWLWDDWWDDL
Momentum index
Coria Cf
1W · 2D · 11LRecent →DLLLWLLLLDLLLL
Momentum index
Form split comparison
Wins, draws, and losses across the sampled form window
Season record
League totals anchoring the snapshot — points, goal balance, and season shape vs opponent.
Ceuta Ii
22 pts46% wins
6W · 4D · 3L · 13 played
For18
Against17
Coria Cf
5 pts7% wins
1W · 2D · 11L · 14 played
For8
Against26
Season shape comparison
League table W–D–L, goal balance, and form-run counts from league profile signals
League depth signals
Matchup edges
Attack vs opponent defense in the matchup comparison.
- Ceuta Ii offensive edge
Ceuta Ii's attack (64%) vs Coria Cf's defense (53%).
+11 - Coria Cf offensive edge
Coria Cf runs into a stronger home defensive profile.
-11
Team comparison
Comparison indices from the match data partner.
Coria CfHigh-risk / fragile
H2H in this snapshot
From 6 meetings included in this prediction snapshot.
4Ceuta Ii67%
2Draws
0Coria Cf0%