CFFEB 1-1 USFA Prediction

CFFEBCFFEB
1 — 1FT
USFAUSFA
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Updated

CffebCffebvsUsfaUsfa

Match DNA · Predictions ↗

Defensive grind — too close to call

Estimated win chances: Cffeb 29%, draw 34.6%, Usfa 36.4%. From 24 and 24 competition matches.

Low tempo / cagey
TempoLow
VolatilityLow
Expected goalsLow
Tactical styleDefensive grind
Upset potentialMedium
Draw riskHigh
Model confidenceLow

Outcome model

Sportra's estimate from each team's season goal rates. It is a statistical guide, not betting advice.

Goal expectancy

0.76Expected goals0.89

From 24 and 24 competition matches

Likely scorelines (Poisson)

  • 0–019.3%
  • 0–117.2%
  • 1–014.6%
  • 1–113%
  • 0–27.6%

Form & momentum

Weighted momentum, recent result run, and form-window W–D–L — the live pulse before kickoff.

35Cold spellCffeb
Weighted momentum

Usfa arrives with stronger form weighting (+22 momentum).

57BuildingUsfa
Cffeb · Structured / conservativeUsfa · Structured / conservative

Cffeb

6W · 8D · 10L
Recent →LDDWWDDLLLDLWLDLLWDWLWDL
Momentum index

Usfa

10W · 10D · 4L
Recent →DDDDWWWDDWDLWWDWWLDLWDWL
Momentum index

Form split comparison

Wins, draws, and losses across the sampled form window

Season record

League totals anchoring the snapshot — points, goal balance, and season shape vs opponent.

Table gapUsfa +14

Cffeb

26 pts
25% wins

6W · 8D · 10L · 24 played

For
15
Against
19
Goal diff -4

Usfa

40 pts
42% wins

10W · 10D · 4L · 24 played

For
25
Against
13
Goal diff +12

Season shape comparison

League table W–D–L, goal balance, and form-run counts from league profile signals

League depth signals

Extremes, discipline windows, and split stats from the full league profile.

Matchup edges

Attack vs opponent defense in the matchup comparison.

  • Cffeb offensive edge

    Cffeb faces a stingier defense than their attack rating suggests.

    -8
  • Usfa offensive edge

    Usfa's attack (33%) vs Cffeb's defense (25%).

    +8

Team comparison

Comparison indices from the match data partner.

Attack rating

Attacking threat in the final third.

Cffeb67
Usfa33

Defense rating

How well each side limits chances.

Cffeb25
Usfa75

Momentum

Weighted form score (recent results count more).

Cffeb35
Usfa57

Matchup edge

Attack vs opponent defense (positive = favourable matchup).

Cffeb34
Usfa66

Volatility

Higher = more swingy results (big losses, goals against).

Cffeb30
Usfa30

Form index

Head-to-head form comparison from the model.

Cffeb53
Usfa47

H2H pull

Historical dominance in recent meetings.

Cffeb50
Usfa50
CffebStructured / conservative
UsfaStructured / conservative

H2H in this snapshot

From 1 meeting included in this prediction snapshot.

0Cffeb0%
1Draws
0Usfa0%

Recent meetings

USFA
0 – 0FT
CFFEB

Ligue 1Round 6