Goal expectancy
1.67Expected goals1.13
From 11 and 11 competition matches
Likely scorelines (Poisson)
Challans 0-0 La Roche sur Yon Prediction
Balanced — model leans Challans
Estimated win chances: Challans 50%, draw 24.3%, La Roche Sur Yon 25.8%. From 11 and 11 competition matches.
TempoHigh
VolatilityLow
Expected goalsMedium
Tactical styleBalanced
Upset potentialMedium
Draw riskMedium
Model confidenceHigh
Outcome model
Sportra's estimate from each team's season goal rates. It is a statistical guide, not betting advice.
Form & momentum
Weighted momentum, recent result run, and form-window W–D–L — the live pulse before kickoff.
55BuildingChallans
Weighted momentum
Challans carries the sharper recent run (+11 momentum).
44MixedLa Roche Sur Yon
Challans
6W · 1D · 4LRecent →DWLWLWLWWLW
Momentum index
La Roche Sur Yon
4W · 3D · 4LRecent →DLWLDWDWLWL
Momentum index
Form split comparison
Wins, draws, and losses across the sampled form window
Season record
League totals anchoring the snapshot — points, goal balance, and season shape vs opponent.
Table gapChallans +4
Challans
19 pts55% wins
6W · 1D · 4L · 11 played
For20
Against13
La Roche Sur Yon
15 pts36% wins
4W · 3D · 4L · 11 played
For13
Against15
Season shape comparison
League table W–D–L, goal balance, and form-run counts from league profile signals
League depth signals
Matchup edges
Attack vs opponent defense in the matchup comparison.
- Challans offensive edge
Challans's attack (69%) vs La Roche Sur Yon's defense (50%).
+19 - La Roche Sur Yon offensive edge
La Roche Sur Yon runs into a stronger home defensive profile.
-19
Team comparison
Comparison indices from the match data partner.
H2H in this snapshot
From 4 meetings included in this prediction snapshot.
2Challans50%
1Draws
1La Roche Sur Yon25%