Challans 1-1 Les Sables Prediction

ChallansChallans
1 — 1FT
Les SablesLes Sables
OverviewLineupsStatisticsStandingsEventsPlayersPredictionsFormInjuriesH2H

Updated

ChallansChallansvsLes SablesLes Sables

Match DNA · Predictions ↗

Open / transitional — model leans Challans

Estimated win chances: Challans 51.7%, draw 23.1%, Les Sables 25.2%. From 4 and 4 competition matches.

TempoHigh
VolatilityLow
Expected goalsMedium
Tactical styleOpen / transitional
Upset potentialMedium
Draw riskMedium
Model confidenceHigh

Outcome model

Sportra's estimate from each team's season goal rates. It is a statistical guide, not betting advice.

Goal expectancy

1.80Expected goals1.19

From 4 and 4 competition matches

Likely scorelines (Poisson)

  • 1–111.3%
  • 2–110.1%
  • 1–09.5%
  • 2–08.5%
  • 1–26.7%

Form & momentum

Weighted momentum, recent result run, and form-window W–D–L — the live pulse before kickoff.

39Cold spellChallans
Weighted momentum

Challans carries the sharper recent run (+20 momentum).

19Cold spellLes Sables
Challans · cold formLes Sables · High-risk / fragile

Challans

1W · 2D · 1L
Recent →DLWD
Momentum index

Les Sables

0W · 2D · 2L
Recent →DLDL
Momentum index

Form split comparison

Wins, draws, and losses across the sampled form window

Season record

League totals anchoring the snapshot — points, goal balance, and season shape vs opponent.

Table gapChallans +3

Challans

5 pts
25% wins

1W · 2D · 1L · 4 played

For
8
Against
6
Goal diff +2

Les Sables

2 pts
0% wins

0W · 2D · 2L · 4 played

For
4
Against
8
Goal diff -4

Season shape comparison

League table W–D–L, goal balance, and form-run counts from league profile signals

League depth signals

Extremes, discipline windows, and split stats from the full league profile.

Matchup edges

Attack vs opponent defense in the matchup comparison.

  • Challans offensive edge

    Challans's attack (67%) vs Les Sables's defense (43%).

    +24
  • Les Sables offensive edge

    Les Sables runs into a stronger home defensive profile.

    -24

Team comparison

Comparison indices from the match data partner.

Attack rating

Attacking threat in the final third.

Challans67
Les Sables33

Defense rating

How well each side limits chances.

Challans57
Les Sables43

Momentum

Weighted form score (recent results count more).

Challans39
Les Sables19

Matchup edge

Attack vs opponent defense (positive = favourable matchup).

Challans98
Les Sables2

Volatility

Higher = more swingy results (big losses, goals against).

Challans30
Les Sables41

Form index

Head-to-head form comparison from the model.

Challans71
Les Sables29

H2H pull

Historical dominance in recent meetings.

Challans0
Les Sables0
Challanscold form
Les SablesHigh-risk / fragile