Goal expectancy
1.80Expected goals1.17
From 9 and 9 competition matches
Likely scorelines (Poisson)
Open / transitional — model leans Cham Ii
Estimated win chances: Cham Ii 52.1%, draw 23.1%, Ascona 24.7%. From 9 and 9 competition matches.
TempoHigh
VolatilityLow
Expected goalsMedium
Tactical styleOpen / transitional
Upset potentialMedium
Draw riskMedium
Model confidenceHigh
Outcome model
Sportra's estimate from each team's season goal rates. It is a statistical guide, not betting advice.
Form & momentum
Weighted momentum, recent result run, and form-window W–D–L — the live pulse before kickoff.
55BuildingCham Ii
Weighted momentum
Cham Ii carries the sharper recent run (+21 momentum).
34Cold spellAscona
Cham Ii · leaky defenseAscona · High-risk / fragile
Cham Ii
4W · 1D · 4LRecent →LWWWLWDLL
Momentum index
Ascona
2W · 0D · 7LRecent →WWLLLLLLL
Momentum index
Form split comparison
Wins, draws, and losses across the sampled form window
Season record
League totals anchoring the snapshot — points, goal balance, and season shape vs opponent.
Table gapCham Ii +7
Cham Ii
13 pts44% wins
4W · 1D · 4L · 9 played
For14
Against15
Ascona
6 pts22% wins
2W · 0D · 7L · 9 played
For7
Against18
Season shape comparison
League table W–D–L, goal balance, and form-run counts from league profile signals
League depth signals
Matchup edges
Attack vs opponent defense in the matchup comparison.
- Cham Ii offensive edge
Cham Ii faces a stingier defense than their attack rating suggests.
-1 - Ascona offensive edge
Ascona's attack (43%) vs Cham Ii's defense (42%).
+1
Team comparison
Comparison indices from the match data partner.
Cham Iileaky defense
AsconaHigh-risk / fragile
H2H in this snapshot
From 2 meetings included in this prediction snapshot.
1Cham Ii50%
1Draws
0Ascona0%