Goal expectancy
2.36Expected goals1.65
From 13 and 13 competition matches
Likely scorelines (Poisson)
Open / transitional — model leans Cham
Estimated win chances: Cham 53.7%, draw 19.6%, Paradiso 26.8%. From 13 and 13 competition matches.
TempoHigh
VolatilityMedium
Expected goalsHigh
Tactical styleOpen / transitional
Upset potentialMedium
Draw riskLow
Model confidenceHigh
Outcome model
Sportra's estimate from each team's season goal rates. It is a statistical guide, not betting advice.
Form & momentum
Weighted momentum, recent result run, and form-window W–D–L — the live pulse before kickoff.
45MixedCham
Weighted momentum
Cham carries the sharper recent run (+21 momentum).
24Cold spellParadiso
Cham · leaky defenseParadiso · High-risk / fragile
Cham
5W · 2D · 6LRecent →LWDWLWLDWLLLW
Momentum index
Paradiso
2W · 5D · 6LRecent →DLLDDLLWLDDWL
Momentum index
Form split comparison
Wins, draws, and losses across the sampled form window
Season record
League totals anchoring the snapshot — points, goal balance, and season shape vs opponent.
Table gapCham +6
Cham
17 pts38% wins
5W · 2D · 6L · 13 played
For26
Against27
Paradiso
11 pts15% wins
2W · 5D · 6L · 13 played
For25
Against38
Season shape comparison
League table W–D–L, goal balance, and form-run counts from league profile signals
League depth signals
Matchup edges
Attack vs opponent defense in the matchup comparison.
- Cham offensive edge
Cham's attack (57%) vs Paradiso's defense (45%).
+12 - Paradiso offensive edge
Paradiso runs into a stronger home defensive profile.
-12
Team comparison
Comparison indices from the match data partner.
Chamleaky defense
ParadisoHigh-risk / fragile
H2H in this snapshot
From 4 meetings included in this prediction snapshot.
1Cham25%
3Draws
0Paradiso0%