Goal expectancy
1.45Expected goals1.42
From 12 and 13 competition matches
Likely scorelines (Poisson)
Chapecoense-sc vs Cruzeiro Prediction
Open / transitional — too close to call
Estimated win chances: Chapecoense-sc 38.2%, draw 24.9%, Cruzeiro 36.9%. From 12 and 13 competition matches.
TempoHigh
VolatilityLow
Expected goalsMedium
Tactical styleOpen / transitional
Upset potentialMedium
Draw riskMedium
Model confidenceLow
Outcome model
Sportra's estimate from each team's season goal rates. It is a statistical guide, not betting advice.
Form & momentum
Weighted momentum, recent result run, and form-window W–D–L — the live pulse before kickoff.
14Cold spellChapecoense-sc
Weighted momentum
Cruzeiro arrives with stronger form weighting (+40 momentum).
54BuildingCruzeiro
Chapecoense-sc · High-risk / fragile
Chapecoense-sc
1W · 5D · 6LRecent →LLLDLLDDLDDW
Momentum index
Cruzeiro
4W · 4D · 5LRecent →WWWLWDLDLDDLL
Momentum index
Form split comparison
Wins, draws, and losses across the sampled form window
Season record
League totals anchoring the snapshot — points, goal balance, and season shape vs opponent.
Chapecoense-sc
8 pts8% wins
1W · 5D · 6L · 12 played
For12
Against24
Cruzeiro
16 pts31% wins
4W · 4D · 5L · 13 played
For17
Against21
Season shape comparison
League table W–D–L, goal balance, and form-run counts from league profile signals
League depth signals
Matchup edges
Attack vs opponent defense in the matchup comparison.
- Chapecoense-sc offensive edge
Chapecoense-sc faces a stingier defense than their attack rating suggests.
-47 - Cruzeiro offensive edge
Cruzeiro's attack (75%) vs Chapecoense-sc's defense (28%).
+47
Team comparison
Comparison indices from the match data partner.
Chapecoense-scHigh-risk / fragile
H2H in this snapshot
From 10 meetings included in this prediction snapshot.
2Chapecoense-sc20%
2Draws
6Cruzeiro60%