Chateauroux 2-2 Dijon Prediction

ChateaurouxChateauroux
2 — 2FT
DijonDijon
OverviewLineupsStatisticsStandingsEventsPlayersPredictionsFormInjuriesH2H

Updated

ChateaurouxChateaurouxvsDijonDijon

Match DNA · Predictions ↗

Balanced — model leans Chateauroux

Estimated win chances: Chateauroux 44.9%, draw 27.8%, Dijon 27.3%. From 12 and 12 competition matches.

TempoMedium
VolatilityLow
Expected goalsLow
Tactical styleBalanced
Upset potentialMedium
Draw riskHigh
Model confidenceMedium

Outcome model

Sportra's estimate from each team's season goal rates. It is a statistical guide, not betting advice.

Goal expectancy

1.33Expected goals0.97

From 12 and 12 competition matches

Likely scorelines (Poisson)

  • 1–013.5%
  • 1–113.1%
  • 0–010.2%
  • 0–19.9%
  • 2–09%

Form & momentum

Weighted momentum, recent result run, and form-window W–D–L — the live pulse before kickoff.

42MixedChateauroux
Weighted momentum

Chateauroux carries the sharper recent run (+8 momentum).

34Cold spellDijon
Chateauroux · compact defenseDijon · cold form

Chateauroux

3W · 7D · 2L
Recent →LWDDDDLWDWDD
Momentum index

Dijon

4W · 5D · 3L
Recent →LLDLDDWDDWWW
Momentum index

Form split comparison

Wins, draws, and losses across the sampled form window

Season record

League totals anchoring the snapshot — points, goal balance, and season shape vs opponent.

Table gapDijon +1

Chateauroux

16 pts
25% wins

3W · 7D · 2L · 12 played

For
13
Against
9
Goal diff +4

Dijon

17 pts
33% wins

4W · 5D · 3L · 12 played

For
13
Against
14
Goal diff -1

Season shape comparison

League table W–D–L, goal balance, and form-run counts from league profile signals

League depth signals

Extremes, discipline windows, and split stats from the full league profile.

Matchup edges

Attack vs opponent defense in the matchup comparison.

  • Chateauroux offensive edge

    Chateauroux's attack (63%) vs Dijon's defense (33%).

    +30
  • Dijon offensive edge

    Dijon runs into a stronger home defensive profile.

    -29

Team comparison

Comparison indices from the match data partner.

Attack rating

Attacking threat in the final third.

Chateauroux63
Dijon38

Defense rating

How well each side limits chances.

Chateauroux67
Dijon33

Momentum

Weighted form score (recent results count more).

Chateauroux42
Dijon34

Matchup edge

Attack vs opponent defense (positive = favourable matchup).

Chateauroux110
Dijon-8

Volatility

Higher = more swingy results (big losses, goals against).

Chateauroux30
Dijon30

Form index

Head-to-head form comparison from the model.

Chateauroux75
Dijon25

H2H pull

Historical dominance in recent meetings.

Chateauroux13
Dijon88
Chateaurouxcompact defense
Dijoncold form