Chateauroux 3-1 Laval Prediction

ChateaurouxChateauroux
3 — 1FT
LavalLaval

Updated

Match DNA · Predictions ↗

Balanced — too close to call

Estimated win chances: Chateauroux 34.4%, draw 27.4%, Laval 38.2%. From 18 and 18 competition matches.

TempoMedium
VolatilityLow
Expected goalsMedium
Tactical styleBalanced
Upset potentialMedium
Draw riskHigh
Model confidenceLow

Outcome model

Sportra's estimate from each team's season goal rates. It is a statistical guide, not betting advice.

Goal expectancy

1.18Expected goals1.26

From 18 and 18 competition matches

Likely scorelines (Poisson)

  • 1–113.2%
  • 0–111.2%
  • 1–010.5%
  • 0–08.9%
  • 1–28.3%

Form & momentum

Weighted momentum, recent result run, and form-window W–D–L — the live pulse before kickoff.

39Cold spellChateauroux
Weighted momentum

Laval arrives with stronger form weighting (+15 momentum).

54BuildingLaval
Chateauroux · low scoring · cold form

Chateauroux

6W · 3D · 9L
Recent →WLDLLWLWLWLDLWLWLD
Momentum index

Laval

7W · 6D · 5L
Recent →WWLLWDWLDWLWDDWDDL
Momentum index

Form split comparison

Wins, draws, and losses across the sampled form window

Season record

League totals anchoring the snapshot — points, goal balance, and season shape vs opponent.

Table gapLaval +6

Chateauroux

21 pts
33% wins

6W · 3D · 9L · 18 played

For
17
Against
28
Goal diff -11

Laval

27 pts
39% wins

7W · 6D · 5L · 18 played

For
22
Against
20
Goal diff +2

Season shape comparison

League table W–D–L, goal balance, and form-run counts from league profile signals

League depth signals

Extremes, discipline windows, and split stats from the full league profile.

Matchup edges

Attack vs opponent defense in the matchup comparison.

  • Chateauroux offensive edge

    Chateauroux faces a stingier defense than their attack rating suggests.

    -29
  • Laval offensive edge

    Laval's attack (73%) vs Chateauroux's defense (44%).

    +29

Team comparison

Comparison indices from the match data partner.

Attack rating

Attacking threat in the final third.

Chateauroux27
Laval73

Defense rating

How well each side limits chances.

Chateauroux44
Laval56

Momentum

Weighted form score (recent results count more).

Chateauroux39
Laval54

Matchup edge

Attack vs opponent defense (positive = favourable matchup).

Chateauroux-8
Laval108

Volatility

Higher = more swingy results (big losses, goals against).

Chateauroux32
Laval30

Form index

Head-to-head form comparison from the model.

Chateauroux31
Laval69

H2H pull

Historical dominance in recent meetings.

Chateauroux80
Laval20
Chateaurouxlow scoring · cold form