Goal expectancy
0.99Expected goals1.36
From 15 and 15 competition matches
Likely scorelines (Poisson)
Châtel-St-Denis 1-1 Collombey-Muraz Prediction
Balanced — model leans Collombey-muraz
Estimated win chances: Châtel-st-denis 27.3%, draw 27.4%, Collombey-muraz 45.3%. From 15 and 15 competition matches.
TempoMedium
VolatilityLow
Expected goalsLow
Tactical styleBalanced
Upset potentialMedium
Draw riskHigh
Model confidenceMedium
Outcome model
Sportra's estimate from each team's season goal rates. It is a statistical guide, not betting advice.
Form & momentum
Weighted momentum, recent result run, and form-window W–D–L — the live pulse before kickoff.
8Cold spellChâtel-st-denis
Weighted momentum
Collombey-muraz arrives with stronger form weighting (+24 momentum).
32Cold spellCollombey-muraz
Châtel-st-denis · High-risk / fragileCollombey-muraz · low scoring · cold form
Châtel-st-denis
1W · 2D · 12LRecent →LLLLLLLLLWDLLLD
Momentum index
Collombey-muraz
3W · 6D · 6LRecent →LWLDLDDLWDLDWLD
Momentum index
Form split comparison
Wins, draws, and losses across the sampled form window
Season record
League totals anchoring the snapshot — points, goal balance, and season shape vs opponent.
Table gapCollombey-muraz +10
Châtel-st-denis
5 pts7% wins
1W · 2D · 12L · 15 played
For6
Against33
Collombey-muraz
15 pts20% wins
3W · 6D · 6L · 15 played
For14
Against17
Season shape comparison
League table W–D–L, goal balance, and form-run counts from league profile signals
League depth signals
Matchup edges
Attack vs opponent defense in the matchup comparison.
- Châtel-st-denis offensive edge
Châtel-st-denis faces a stingier defense than their attack rating suggests.
-39 - Collombey-muraz offensive edge
Collombey-muraz's attack (80%) vs Châtel-st-denis's defense (41%).
+39
Team comparison
Comparison indices from the match data partner.
Châtel-st-denisHigh-risk / fragile
Collombey-murazlow scoring · cold form
H2H in this snapshot
From 1 meeting included in this prediction snapshot.
0Châtel-st-denis0%
1Draws
0Collombey-muraz0%