Goal expectancy
2.24Expected goals1.54
From 29 and 29 competition matches
Likely scorelines (Poisson)
Châtel-St-Denis 0-3 Romontois Prediction
Open / transitional — model leans Châtel-st-denis
Estimated win chances: Châtel-st-denis 53.5%, draw 20.2%, Romontois 26.3%. From 29 and 29 competition matches.
TempoHigh
VolatilityMedium
Expected goalsHigh
Tactical styleOpen / transitional
Upset potentialMedium
Draw riskLow
Model confidenceHigh
Outcome model
Sportra's estimate from each team's season goal rates. It is a statistical guide, not betting advice.
Form & momentum
Weighted momentum, recent result run, and form-window W–D–L — the live pulse before kickoff.
31Cold spellChâtel-st-denis
Weighted momentum
Momentum is balanced — recent results cancel out.
38Cold spellRomontois
Châtel-st-denis · High-risk / fragileRomontois · High-risk / fragile
Châtel-st-denis
11W · 4D · 14LRecent →LDLWLLLWLLLLLLDWLDWWLWWWDWLWW
Momentum index
Romontois
11W · 2D · 16LRecent →WLLWLWLWLDLLLLWLLWWWLLLLWLWWD
Momentum index
Form split comparison
Wins, draws, and losses across the sampled form window
Season record
League totals anchoring the snapshot — points, goal balance, and season shape vs opponent.
Table gapChâtel-st-denis +2
Châtel-st-denis
37 pts38% wins
11W · 4D · 14L · 29 played
For48
Against52
Romontois
35 pts38% wins
11W · 2D · 16L · 29 played
For50
Against74
Season shape comparison
League table W–D–L, goal balance, and form-run counts from league profile signals
League depth signals
Matchup edges
Attack vs opponent defense in the matchup comparison.
- Châtel-st-denis offensive edge
Châtel-st-denis faces a stingier defense than their attack rating suggests.
-9 - Romontois offensive edge
Romontois's attack (56%) vs Châtel-st-denis's defense (47%).
+9
Team comparison
Comparison indices from the match data partner.
Châtel-st-denisHigh-risk / fragile
RomontoisHigh-risk / fragile
H2H in this snapshot
From 5 meetings included in this prediction snapshot.
1Châtel-st-denis20%
2Draws
2Romontois40%