Châtel-St-Denis 0-4 Vernier Prediction

Châtel-St-DenisChâtel-St-Denis
0 — 4FT
VernierVernier

Updated

Match DNA · Predictions ↗

Balanced — model leans Vernier

Estimated win chances: Châtel-st-denis 31%, draw 26.2%, Vernier 42.7%. From 13 and 13 competition matches.

TempoMedium
VolatilityLow
Expected goalsMedium
Tactical styleBalanced
Upset potentialHigh
Draw riskMedium
Model confidenceMedium

Outcome model

Sportra's estimate from each team's season goal rates. It is a statistical guide, not betting advice.

Goal expectancy

1.17Expected goals1.42

From 13 and 13 competition matches

Likely scorelines (Poisson)

  • 1–112.7%
  • 0–110.9%
  • 1–29%
  • 1–09%
  • 0–27.7%

Form & momentum

Weighted momentum, recent result run, and form-window W–D–L — the live pulse before kickoff.

10Cold spellChâtel-st-denis
Weighted momentum

Vernier arrives with stronger form weighting (+38 momentum).

48MixedVernier
Châtel-st-denis · High-risk / fragile

Châtel-st-denis

1W · 2D · 10L
Recent →LLLLLLLWDLLLD
Momentum index

Vernier

4W · 5D · 4L
Recent →DWDDLDWWWLLLD
Momentum index

Form split comparison

Wins, draws, and losses across the sampled form window

Season record

League totals anchoring the snapshot — points, goal balance, and season shape vs opponent.

Table gapVernier +12

Châtel-st-denis

5 pts
8% wins

1W · 2D · 10L · 13 played

For
5
Against
25
Goal diff -20

Vernier

17 pts
31% wins

4W · 5D · 4L · 13 played

For
18
Against
19
Goal diff -1

Season shape comparison

League table W–D–L, goal balance, and form-run counts from league profile signals

League depth signals

Extremes, discipline windows, and split stats from the full league profile.

Matchup edges

Attack vs opponent defense in the matchup comparison.

  • Châtel-st-denis offensive edge

    Châtel-st-denis faces a stingier defense than their attack rating suggests.

    -50
  • Vernier offensive edge

    Vernier's attack (100%) vs Châtel-st-denis's defense (50%).

    +50

Team comparison

Comparison indices from the match data partner.

Attack rating

Attacking threat in the final third.

Châtel-st-denis0
Vernier100

Defense rating

How well each side limits chances.

Châtel-st-denis50
Vernier50

Momentum

Weighted form score (recent results count more).

Châtel-st-denis10
Vernier48

Matchup edge

Attack vs opponent defense (positive = favourable matchup).

Châtel-st-denis-50
Vernier150

Volatility

Higher = more swingy results (big losses, goals against).

Châtel-st-denis39
Vernier30

Form index

Head-to-head form comparison from the model.

Châtel-st-denis0
Vernier100

H2H pull

Historical dominance in recent meetings.

Châtel-st-denis0
Vernier0
Châtel-st-denisHigh-risk / fragile