Goal expectancy
1.20Expected goals2.16
From 29 and 29 competition matches
Likely scorelines (Poisson)
Chaumont 0-2 Nothomb-Post Prediction
Open / transitional — model leans Nothomb-post
Estimated win chances: Chaumont 20.4%, draw 20.3%, Nothomb-post 59.3%. From 29 and 29 competition matches.
TempoHigh
VolatilityMedium
Expected goalsHigh
Tactical styleOpen / transitional
Upset potentialMedium
Draw riskLow
Model confidenceHigh
Outcome model
Sportra's estimate from each team's season goal rates. It is a statistical guide, not betting advice.
Form & momentum
Weighted momentum, recent result run, and form-window W–D–L — the live pulse before kickoff.
18Cold spellChaumont
Weighted momentum
Nothomb-post arrives with stronger form weighting (+39 momentum).
57BuildingNothomb-post
Chaumont · High-risk / fragile
Chaumont
4W · 4D · 21LRecent →WLLLDLLLLDLLDLLWLWLLLLLLLLLDW
Momentum index
Nothomb-post
15W · 6D · 8LRecent →LWLDDWDWLWWWLWLWWWWLDDWWDWLLW
Momentum index
Form split comparison
Wins, draws, and losses across the sampled form window
Season record
League totals anchoring the snapshot — points, goal balance, and season shape vs opponent.
Table gapNothomb-post +35
Chaumont
16 pts14% wins
4W · 4D · 21L · 29 played
For23
Against84
Nothomb-post
51 pts52% wins
15W · 6D · 8L · 29 played
For65
Against38
Season shape comparison
League table W–D–L, goal balance, and form-run counts from league profile signals
League depth signals
Matchup edges
Attack vs opponent defense in the matchup comparison.
- Chaumont offensive edge
Chaumont faces a stingier defense than their attack rating suggests.
-31 - Nothomb-post offensive edge
Nothomb-post's attack (60%) vs Chaumont's defense (29%).
+31
Team comparison
Comparison indices from the match data partner.
ChaumontHigh-risk / fragile
H2H in this snapshot
From 3 meetings included in this prediction snapshot.
2Chaumont67%
0Draws
1Nothomb-post33%