Goal expectancy
1.26Expected goals0.93
From 24 and 23 competition matches
Likely scorelines (Poisson)
Chemal 1-0 Inter Nouakchott Prediction
Defensive grind — model leans Chemal
Estimated win chances: Chemal 43.9%, draw 28.7%, Inter Nouakchott 27.4%. From 24 and 23 competition matches.
Low tempo / cageyTempoMedium
VolatilityLow
Expected goalsLow
Tactical styleDefensive grind
Upset potentialMedium
Draw riskHigh
Model confidenceMedium
Outcome model
Sportra's estimate from each team's season goal rates. It is a statistical guide, not betting advice.
Form & momentum
Weighted momentum, recent result run, and form-window W–D–L — the live pulse before kickoff.
49MixedChemal
Weighted momentum
Momentum is balanced — recent results cancel out.
42MixedInter Nouakchott
Inter Nouakchott · Structured / conservative
Chemal
12W · 5D · 7LRecent →LDDWDLWWLLLDWLWWWWWWWLDW
Momentum index
Inter Nouakchott
7W · 7D · 9LRecent →WLDWWDLLDDLLWWLLDLWDLDW
Momentum index
Form split comparison
Wins, draws, and losses across the sampled form window
Season record
League totals anchoring the snapshot — points, goal balance, and season shape vs opponent.
Chemal
41 pts50% wins
12W · 5D · 7L · 24 played
For32
Against24
Inter Nouakchott
28 pts30% wins
7W · 7D · 9L · 23 played
For20
Against21
Season shape comparison
League table W–D–L, goal balance, and form-run counts from league profile signals
League depth signals
Matchup edges
Attack vs opponent defense in the matchup comparison.
- Chemal offensive edge
Chemal faces a stingier defense than their attack rating suggests.
-31 - Inter Nouakchott offensive edge
Inter Nouakchott's attack (64%) vs Chemal's defense (33%).
+31
Team comparison
Comparison indices from the match data partner.
Inter NouakchottStructured / conservative
H2H in this snapshot
From 1 meeting included in this prediction snapshot.
1Chemal100%
0Draws
0Inter Nouakchott0%