Cherno More Varna 3-1 Levski Sofia Prediction

Cherno More VarnaCherno More Varna
3 — 1FT
Levski SofiaLevski Sofia
OverviewLineupsStatisticsStandingsEventsPlayersPredictionsFormInjuriesH2H

Updated

Cherno More VarnaCherno More VarnavsLevski SofiaLevski Sofia

Match DNA · Predictions ↗

Balanced — model leans Cherno More Varna

Estimated win chances: Cherno More Varna 42.2%, draw 27%, Levski Sofia 30.7%. From 28 and 28 competition matches.

TempoMedium
VolatilityLow
Expected goalsMedium
Tactical styleBalanced
Upset potentialHigh
Draw riskHigh
Model confidenceMedium

Outcome model

Sportra's estimate from each team's season goal rates. It is a statistical guide, not betting advice.

Goal expectancy

1.35Expected goals1.11

From 28 and 28 competition matches

Likely scorelines (Poisson)

  • 1–113%
  • 1–011.7%
  • 0–19.7%
  • 2–18.8%
  • 0–08.7%

Form & momentum

Weighted momentum, recent result run, and form-window W–D–L — the live pulse before kickoff.

65BuildingCherno More Varna
Weighted momentum

Momentum is balanced — recent results cancel out.

60BuildingLevski Sofia
Cherno More Varna · compact defenseLevski Sofia · compact defense

Cherno More Varna

17W · 7D · 4L
Recent →LWDWLWWLWWWDWWLDDWDWWDWWWWWD
Momentum index

Levski Sofia

15W · 6D · 7L
Recent →LLWWDWWWWWDDLDLWDLWWDWWWLWWL
Momentum index

Form split comparison

Wins, draws, and losses across the sampled form window

Season record

League totals anchoring the snapshot — points, goal balance, and season shape vs opponent.

Table gapCherno More Varna +7

Cherno More Varna

58 pts
61% wins

17W · 7D · 4L · 28 played

For
44
Against
24
Goal diff +20

Levski Sofia

51 pts
54% wins

15W · 6D · 7L · 28 played

For
43
Against
23
Goal diff +20

Season shape comparison

League table W–D–L, goal balance, and form-run counts from league profile signals

League depth signals

Extremes, discipline windows, and split stats from the full league profile.

Matchup edges

Attack vs opponent defense in the matchup comparison.

  • Cherno More Varna offensive edge

    Cherno More Varna's attack (45%) vs Levski Sofia's defense (36%).

    +9
  • Levski Sofia offensive edge

    Levski Sofia runs into a stronger home defensive profile.

    -9

Team comparison

Comparison indices from the match data partner.

Attack rating

Attacking threat in the final third.

Cherno More Varna45
Levski Sofia55

Defense rating

How well each side limits chances.

Cherno More Varna64
Levski Sofia36

Momentum

Weighted form score (recent results count more).

Cherno More Varna65
Levski Sofia60

Matchup edge

Attack vs opponent defense (positive = favourable matchup).

Cherno More Varna68
Levski Sofia32

Volatility

Higher = more swingy results (big losses, goals against).

Cherno More Varna30
Levski Sofia30

Form index

Head-to-head form comparison from the model.

Cherno More Varna50
Levski Sofia50

H2H pull

Historical dominance in recent meetings.

Cherno More Varna29
Levski Sofia71
Cherno More Varnacompact defense
Levski Sofiacompact defense