Chieri 0-5 Albenga Prediction

ChieriChieri
0 — 5FT
AlbengaAlbenga

Updated

Match DNA · Predictions ↗

Balanced — model leans Chieri

Estimated win chances: Chieri 39.2%, draw 27.9%, Albenga 32.9%. From 5 and 5 competition matches.

TempoMedium
VolatilityLow
Expected goalsLow
Tactical styleBalanced
Upset potentialHigh
Draw riskHigh
Model confidenceLow

Outcome model

Sportra's estimate from each team's season goal rates. It is a statistical guide, not betting advice.

Goal expectancy

1.24Expected goals1.11

From 5 and 5 competition matches

Likely scorelines (Poisson)

  • 1–113.3%
  • 1–012%
  • 0–110.7%
  • 0–09.7%
  • 2–18.3%

Form & momentum

Weighted momentum, recent result run, and form-window W–D–L — the live pulse before kickoff.

36Cold spellChieri
Weighted momentum

Albenga arrives with stronger form weighting (+9 momentum).

45MixedAlbenga
Chieri · low scoring · cold formAlbenga · Structured / conservative

Chieri

1W · 2D · 2L
Recent →LWDDL
Momentum index

Albenga

1W · 3D · 1L
Recent →WDLDD
Momentum index

Form split comparison

Wins, draws, and losses across the sampled form window

Season record

League totals anchoring the snapshot — points, goal balance, and season shape vs opponent.

Table gapAlbenga +1

Chieri

5 pts
20% wins

1W · 2D · 2L · 5 played

For
5
Against
7
Goal diff -2

Albenga

6 pts
20% wins

1W · 3D · 1L · 5 played

For
4
Against
4
Goal diff +0

Season shape comparison

League table W–D–L, goal balance, and form-run counts from league profile signals

League depth signals

Extremes, discipline windows, and split stats from the full league profile.

Matchup edges

Attack vs opponent defense in the matchup comparison.

  • Chieri offensive edge

    Chieri faces a stingier defense than their attack rating suggests.

    -8
  • Albenga offensive edge

    Albenga's attack (44%) vs Chieri's defense (36%).

    +8

Team comparison

Comparison indices from the match data partner.

Attack rating

Attacking threat in the final third.

Chieri56
Albenga44

Defense rating

How well each side limits chances.

Chieri36
Albenga64

Momentum

Weighted form score (recent results count more).

Chieri36
Albenga45

Matchup edge

Attack vs opponent defense (positive = favourable matchup).

Chieri34
Albenga66

Volatility

Higher = more swingy results (big losses, goals against).

Chieri30
Albenga30

Form index

Head-to-head form comparison from the model.

Chieri45
Albenga55

H2H pull

Historical dominance in recent meetings.

Chieri0
Albenga0
Chierilow scoring · cold form
AlbengaStructured / conservative