Goal expectancy
1.30Expected goals1.50
From 30 and 31 competition matches
Likely scorelines (Poisson)
Balanced — model leans Imperia
Estimated win chances: Chieri 32.9%, draw 25.1%, Imperia 42%. From 30 and 31 competition matches.
TempoHigh
VolatilityLow
Expected goalsMedium
Tactical styleBalanced
Upset potentialHigh
Draw riskMedium
Model confidenceMedium
Outcome model
Sportra's estimate from each team's season goal rates. It is a statistical guide, not betting advice.
Form & momentum
Weighted momentum, recent result run, and form-window W–D–L — the live pulse before kickoff.
23Cold spellChieri
Weighted momentum
Imperia arrives with stronger form weighting (+16 momentum).
39Cold spellImperia
Chieri · High-risk / fragileImperia · cold form
Chieri
4W · 7D · 19LRecent →DDLLWLLLDWLLDDLLWLDLLLLLLLLDLW
Momentum index
Imperia
10W · 7D · 14LRecent →LLDLWLDLDWWDWWWLDLWWLLLLDLWLLDW
Momentum index
Form split comparison
Wins, draws, and losses across the sampled form window
Season record
League totals anchoring the snapshot — points, goal balance, and season shape vs opponent.
Chieri
19 pts13% wins
4W · 7D · 19L · 30 played
For23
Against54
Imperia
37 pts32% wins
10W · 7D · 14L · 31 played
For50
Against48
Season shape comparison
League table W–D–L, goal balance, and form-run counts from league profile signals
League depth signals
Matchup edges
Attack vs opponent defense in the matchup comparison.
- Chieri offensive edge
Chieri faces a stingier defense than their attack rating suggests.
-1 - Imperia offensive edge
Imperia's attack (70%) vs Chieri's defense (69%).
+1
Team comparison
Comparison indices from the match data partner.
ChieriHigh-risk / fragile
Imperiacold form
H2H in this snapshot
From 3 meetings included in this prediction snapshot.
2Chieri67%
1Draws
0Imperia0%