Goal expectancy
1.25Expected goals1.20
From 12 and 12 competition matches
Likely scorelines (Poisson)
Estimated win chances: Chievo 37.5%, draw 27.3%, Atalanta 35.1%. From 12 and 12 competition matches.
Sportra's estimate from each team's season goal rates. It is a statistical guide, not betting advice.
1.25Expected goals1.20
From 12 and 12 competition matches
Likely scorelines (Poisson)
Weighted momentum, recent result run, and form-window W–D–L — the live pulse before kickoff.
Atalanta arrives with stronger form weighting (+10 momentum).
Wins, draws, and losses across the sampled form window
League totals anchoring the snapshot — points, goal balance, and season shape vs opponent.
4W · 3D · 5L · 12 played
5W · 5D · 2L · 12 played
League table W–D–L, goal balance, and form-run counts from league profile signals
Attack vs opponent defense in the matchup comparison.
Chievo faces a stingier defense than their attack rating suggests.
-19Atalanta's attack (60%) vs Chievo's defense (41%).
+19Comparison indices from the match data partner.