Goal expectancy
1.25Expected goals1.15
From 30 and 30 competition matches
Likely scorelines (Poisson)
Balanced — too close to call
Estimated win chances: Chievo 38.6%, draw 27.6%, Catania 33.8%. From 30 and 30 competition matches.
TempoMedium
VolatilityLow
Expected goalsLow
Tactical styleBalanced
Upset potentialMedium
Draw riskHigh
Model confidenceLow
Outcome model
Sportra's estimate from each team's season goal rates. It is a statistical guide, not betting advice.
Form & momentum
Weighted momentum, recent result run, and form-window W–D–L — the live pulse before kickoff.
45MixedChievo
Weighted momentum
Momentum is balanced — recent results cancel out.
50MixedCatania
Chievo · low scoring
Chievo
10W · 9D · 11LRecent →WDDLDWWLLWLDWLDWLDLWWLLLDDWWLD
Momentum index
Catania
10W · 13D · 7LRecent →DDWWDDWWLWDDLLDWDLWLLWDDWDDLWD
Momentum index
Form split comparison
Wins, draws, and losses across the sampled form window
Season record
League totals anchoring the snapshot — points, goal balance, and season shape vs opponent.
Table gapCatania +4
Chievo
39 pts33% wins
10W · 9D · 11L · 30 played
For27
Against37
Catania
43 pts33% wins
10W · 13D · 7L · 30 played
For39
Against38
Season shape comparison
League table W–D–L, goal balance, and form-run counts from league profile signals
League depth signals
Matchup edges
Attack vs opponent defense in the matchup comparison.
- Chievo offensive edge
Chievo faces a stingier defense than their attack rating suggests.
-15 - Catania offensive edge
Catania's attack (45%) vs Chievo's defense (30%).
+15
Team comparison
Comparison indices from the match data partner.
Chievolow scoring
H2H in this snapshot
From 3 meetings included in this prediction snapshot.
1Chievo33%
1Draws
1Catania33%