Chievo 1-0 Fiorentina Prediction

ChievoChievo
1 — 0FT
FiorentinaFiorentina
OverviewLineupsStatisticsStandingsEventsPlayersPredictionsFormInjuriesH2H

Updated

ChievoChievovsFiorentinaFiorentina

Match DNA · Predictions ↗

Defensive grind — too close to call

Estimated win chances: Chievo 36.1%, draw 28.8%, Fiorentina 35.1%. From 9 and 9 competition matches.

Low tempo / cagey
TempoMedium
VolatilityLow
Expected goalsLow
Tactical styleDefensive grind
Upset potentialMedium
Draw riskHigh
Model confidenceLow

Outcome model

Sportra's estimate from each team's season goal rates. It is a statistical guide, not betting advice.

Goal expectancy

1.13Expected goals1.11

From 9 and 9 competition matches

Likely scorelines (Poisson)

  • 1–113.5%
  • 1–012.2%
  • 0–112%
  • 0–010.8%
  • 2–17.6%

Form & momentum

Weighted momentum, recent result run, and form-window W–D–L — the live pulse before kickoff.

27Cold spellChievo
Weighted momentum

Fiorentina arrives with stronger form weighting (+15 momentum).

42MixedFiorentina
Chievo · low scoring · cold formFiorentina · compact defense

Chievo

2W · 3D · 4L
Recent →LLLDDWWLD
Momentum index

Fiorentina

3W · 3D · 3L
Recent →WLDDLDWLW
Momentum index

Form split comparison

Wins, draws, and losses across the sampled form window

Season record

League totals anchoring the snapshot — points, goal balance, and season shape vs opponent.

Table gapFiorentina +3

Chievo

9 pts
22% wins

2W · 3D · 4L · 9 played

For
7
Against
11
Goal diff -4

Fiorentina

12 pts
33% wins

3W · 3D · 3L · 9 played

For
10
Against
8
Goal diff +2

Season shape comparison

League table W–D–L, goal balance, and form-run counts from league profile signals

League depth signals

Extremes, discipline windows, and split stats from the full league profile.

Matchup edges

Attack vs opponent defense in the matchup comparison.

  • Chievo offensive edge

    Chievo faces a stingier defense than their attack rating suggests.

    -33
  • Fiorentina offensive edge

    Fiorentina's attack (83%) vs Chievo's defense (50%).

    +33

Team comparison

Comparison indices from the match data partner.

Attack rating

Attacking threat in the final third.

Chievo17
Fiorentina83

Defense rating

How well each side limits chances.

Chievo50
Fiorentina50

Momentum

Weighted form score (recent results count more).

Chievo27
Fiorentina42

Matchup edge

Attack vs opponent defense (positive = favourable matchup).

Chievo-16
Fiorentina116

Volatility

Higher = more swingy results (big losses, goals against).

Chievo30
Fiorentina30

Form index

Head-to-head form comparison from the model.

Chievo29
Fiorentina71

H2H pull

Historical dominance in recent meetings.

Chievo0
Fiorentina100
Chievolow scoring · cold form
Fiorentinacompact defense